WNBA · resolved market

Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 155.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadd41a3f4b7d9bffd5bbc68d7e622fd17a6d540dd3895556c8533ffe5716caea

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $56,418
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $58,685

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,418 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in WNBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over	55c	18,824$10,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,393.3	641	52%333 W · 308 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	43c	3,922$1,670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,670.27	371	41.2%153 W · 218 L	-13.3wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Under	45c	3,674$1,637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,637.28	71	38%27 W · 44 L	-5.4wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	46c	3,135$1,435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,434.85	837	48.1%403 W · 434 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	45c	2,778$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,249.99	179	46.4%83 W · 96 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	48c	2,648$1,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,267.24	995	48.1%479 W · 516 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	46c	2,498$1,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,141.36	1,765	51.7%912 W · 853 L	+53.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe01…6f13backed Over	54c	2,092$1,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$966.18	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under	47c	2,000$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	53c	1,700$906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$793.05	506	46.8%237 W · 269 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under	48c	1,667$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	47c	1,306$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.8	1,611	50.2%809 W · 802 L	+37.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	44c	1,118$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.96	462	47%217 W · 245 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under	48c	1,003$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.44	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb6…d647backed Over	52c	966.47$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.47	51	58.8%30 W · 21 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over	49c	879.26$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.14	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-14%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	45c	839.2$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.64	411	45.7%188 W · 223 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	53c	762.61$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356	303	47.2%143 W · 160 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Over	54c	543.26$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.06	49	61.2%30 W · 19 L	+6.0wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under	47c	540.9$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.22	327	50.2%164 W · 163 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	41c	500.08$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	509	52.5%267 W · 242 L	+17.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over	54c	500$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	851	58.4%497 W · 354 L	+70.2wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over	52c	479.74$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.87	449	15.6%70 W · 379 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under	43c	473.82$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.2	88	36.4%32 W · 56 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	44c	463.25$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.83	749	42.3%317 W · 432 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Under	47c	449.9$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.45	274	49.6%136 W · 138 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under	48c	423.21$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.85	224	46%103 W · 121 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under	73c	410.93$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.98	60	66.7%40 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over	60c	405$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.97	173	50.3%87 W · 86 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	47c	402$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.48	386	50.3%194 W · 192 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e11…644abacked Over	71c	352.11$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.11	59	67.8%40 W · 19 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	73cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe73…7d93backed Over	55c	342.27$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.02	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-4.7wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under	48c	340$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.2	136	49.3%67 W · 69 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over	53c	306.62$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.11	100	59%59 W · 41 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Under	56c	300$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-6.6wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-24%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Over	54c	271.97$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.03	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	47c	257.85$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.17	922	48.8%450 W · 472 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over	51c	253.99$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.35	285	58.6%167 W · 118 L	+20.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under	56c	231.56$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.64	87	48.3%42 W · 45 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	49c	220.28$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.99	785	48.8%383 W · 402 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Under	54c	200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Over	49c	199.99$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	56	51.8%29 W · 27 L	+4.8wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdf5…d359backed Under	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	79	44.3%35 W · 44 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over	49c	172.21$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.69	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-17.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under	61c	161.72$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.65	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	47c	158.67$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.57	893	49.4%441 W · 452 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	50c	142.58$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.29	386	45.9%177 W · 209 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Over	29c	141.38$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.38	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under	44c	138$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.72	307	34.2%105 W · 202 L	-28.2wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	46c	127.77$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.77	399	47.1%188 W · 211 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	50c	111.8$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.9	712	45.4%323 W · 389 L	-19.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over	55c	105.44$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.45	91	60.4%55 W · 36 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over	53c	103.77$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.77	81	54.3%44 W · 37 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab1…638bbacked Over	43c	100.2$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.2	20	75%15 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa560…767dbacked Over	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under	39c	91.37$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.18	224	40.2%90 W · 134 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Over	68c	79.99$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.4	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+54.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over	58c	77.33$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.29	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	-6.7wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under	46c	75.54$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.75	329	48.6%160 W · 169 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over	54c	67$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.81	203	40.9%83 W · 120 L	-16.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over	53c	66.3$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.06	192	45.8%88 W · 104 L	-12.0wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x205d…2ad2backed Under	48c	62.74$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.12	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under	39c	57.43$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.66	156	54.5%85 W · 71 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb323…e253backed Over	53c	57.14$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.86	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e9b…888fbacked Over	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Under	43c	54$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.07	73	60.3%44 W · 29 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ec7…4b43backed Over	56c	53.76$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.81	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under	51c	50.26$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.62	154	53.2%82 W · 72 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d18…2365backed Over	53c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.5	84	42.9%36 W · 48 L	-10.7wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfc91…fcabbacked Under	61c	49.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-4.1wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0eaf…1f76backed Over	62c	48.39$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.39	57	73.7%42 W · 15 L	+8.9wins	+0.16per pick	58cpaid	+24%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under	47c	47.04$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.11	426	49.3%210 W · 216 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf422…6aa5backed Under	33c	43.09$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.22	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f7…680bbacked Under	46c	42.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.74	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	47c	42.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.82	615	47%289 W · 326 L	-19.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Over	63c	39.51$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.51	161	53.4%86 W · 75 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Under	51c	37.64$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.27	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	54c	33.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.95	246	56.5%139 W · 107 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Over	55c	33.09$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.96	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-5.1wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x63fc…4a6cbacked Over	36c	30.56$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.56	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba31…8794backed Over	53c	30.19$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.19	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over	56c	29.71$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.15	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over	53c	29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.63	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd238…ee03backed Under	44c	28.26$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.43	93	36.6%34 W · 59 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x093a…e580backed Over	54c	27.78$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.78	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.27per pick	53cpaid	+49.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc42…b12cbacked Over	54c	27.04$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.39	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under	64c	23.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-4.4wins	-0.15per pick	58cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x442c…3db8backed Over	65c	23.22$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.22	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.17per pick	63cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb09c…fe75backed Over	56c	22.21$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.77	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 155.5this page
Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix MercuryPhoenix Mercury won
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 156.5Over won
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 157.5Over won
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 158.5Over won
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-3.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-4.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)Phoenix Mercury won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 155.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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