WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65e2fae23ad4cd4625194556b0b1de633c3034bf158da3505f7bc00e3c2e1ab4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phoenix Mercuryof Golden State Valkyries, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 13,343$6,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,585.94 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 13,333$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.99 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 10,336$5,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,651.01 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 10,000$4,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,675 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 9,297$5,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189.04 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 7,897$3,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,914.71 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 4,802$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.5 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 3,313$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.71 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 2,729$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.91 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 2,630$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.4 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 1,894$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.24 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Phoenix Mercury | 37c | 1,300$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.1 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 930$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.5 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969e…b834backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 911.06$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.97 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 894$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.24 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 771.99$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.48 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 700$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.02 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 681.02$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.79 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Golden State Valkyries | 43c | 651.98$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.84 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Phoenix Mercury | 66c | 575.06$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.52 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Phoenix Mercury | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 334$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Phoenix Mercury | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 272.8$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.22 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 270.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.62 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Phoenix Mercury | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Phoenix Mercury | 66c | 252.97$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.33 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa544…7566backed Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 225.5$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…7deebacked Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 187.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 181.1$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.46 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Phoenix Mercury | 58c | 147.93$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 104.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 98.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 91.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 84.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Golden State Valkyries | 42c | 82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Golden State Valkyries | 42c | 74.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Phoenix Mercury | 58c | 67.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 65.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Phoenix Mercury | 43c | 60.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…83dfbacked Golden State Valkyries | 44c | 56.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 55.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 50.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 50.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 49.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 48.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 46.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 43.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 41.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 40.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed Phoenix Mercury | 59c | 36.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 34.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Phoenix Mercury | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 30.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Golden State Valkyries | 41c | 28.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Golden State Valkyries | 39c | 27.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 23.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 22.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 19.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…83adbacked Phoenix Mercury | 66c | 18.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…00d5backed Phoenix Mercury | 66c | 18.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…6aa5backed Phoenix Mercury | 66c | 18.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Phoenix Mercury | 66c | 17.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)this page
- Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix MercuryPhoenix Mercury won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 155.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 156.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 157.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 158.5Over won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-3.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-4.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.