WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 158.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x855b17584843b31160ffaaec338572f20442fca71d2dafdc5fc19ae15131b27a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 6,089$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.72 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 52c | 3,559$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.7 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Under | 59c | 1,700$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 40c | 1,506$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.52 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…c873backed Under | 68c | 1,465$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 807.83$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.54 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac40…f5b9backed Under | 42c | 799.97$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 48c | 646.99$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.11 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 516.56$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.63 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 59c | 411.55$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.74 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 23c | 275.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.89 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Under | 4c | 265.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…3312backed Under | 57c | 261.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Under | 49c | 245.83$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 37c | 187.67$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.39 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 61c | 164.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 65c | 156.72$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.39 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 52c | 141.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 39c | 128.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 44c | 107.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 44c | 89.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 59c | 86.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 59c | 83.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 52c | 80.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 61c | 80.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 54c | 72.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Under | 52c | 71.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 39c | 70.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 63.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 63.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 39c | 48.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 52c | 45.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 59c | 43.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 43c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 57c | 42.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed Under | 52c | 41.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 61c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed Over | 51c | 40.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 63c | 35.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 35.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 58c | 32.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 55c | 28.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Over | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…2008backed Under | 52c | 20.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 158.5this page
- Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix MercuryPhoenix Mercury won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 155.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 156.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 157.5Over won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-3.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-4.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.