TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 157.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,695
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,695 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Over49c14,451$7,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,308.4910749.5%53 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over48c6,263$3,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,256.6832749.5%162 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Under52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.992055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under50c4,098$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.316141%66 W · 95 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under52c3,951$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,054.662646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under50c3,000$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51019847.5%94 W · 104 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under49c2,948$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.8951147.2%241 W · 270 L-2.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c2,725$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.441,01247.9%485 W · 527 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under49c2,635$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.3638940.9%159 W · 230 L-14.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under52c1,300$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6765930.5%18 W · 41 L-8.0wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-31.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Over47c1,050$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.832334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c1,002$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.711,78751.7%924 W · 863 L+54.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c1,000$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52585948.4%416 W · 443 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Over48c895.31$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.568146.9%38 W · 43 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c802.49$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.2547246.8%221 W · 251 L-1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Under51c799.97$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.986437.5%24 W · 40 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under53c635$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.3824847.6%118 W · 130 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over44c528$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.6833839.9%135 W · 203 L-19.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under60c513.69$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.9451552.6%271 W · 244 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over54c446.25$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.4830347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Under50c385.79$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1914645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under53c372$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.1639450.5%199 W · 195 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under55c366$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.356455.1%311 W · 253 L+27.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07c3…50ffbacked Under49c362$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.38425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-64.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over48c350$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.5928758.5%168 W · 119 L+20.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa544…7566backed Under53c318.8$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf316…c97fbacked Under57c317.79$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over50c304.87$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3385158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac40…f5b9backed Under38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under52c291.41$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5376142.7%325 W · 436 L-19.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under53c285.95$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5820440.7%83 W · 121 L-16.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over51c284.98$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2736950.9%188 W · 181 L+16.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under50c256$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12893248.8%455 W · 477 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Under53c245.46$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0914148.9%69 W · 72 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under46c243.86$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4737650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under60c243.73$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.487945.6%36 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.085949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeba0…4586backed Over29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14210528.6%30 W · 75 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under57c192.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under41c184.71$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.578836.4%32 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under53c179.77$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.282528%7 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over65c178.47$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8524255.4%134 W · 108 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under59c168.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6919857.1%113 W · 85 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over49c154$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3321546.5%100 W · 115 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Over48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Over48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under45c149.58$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7419650.5%99 W · 97 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under47c141.67$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5834826.4%92 W · 256 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over45c141.13$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.928748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over62c138.32$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2337054.1%200 W · 170 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76fd…ab71backed Under55c122.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Under53c120.49$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8627949.1%137 W · 142 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over39c104.09$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.324656.5%139 W · 107 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under60c103.67$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6115654.5%85 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under73c102$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4617350.3%87 W · 86 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Over28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728045%36 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under61c94.61$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.613355.6%74 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under53c91.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3432850.3%165 W · 163 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under46c80.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6625447.2%120 W · 134 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.862746.9%294 W · 333 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over61c77.73$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3931249.4%154 W · 158 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over32c74.79$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6222440.2%90 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5f…f7aebacked Over27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.07875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Under61c57.91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.077360.3%44 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under53c57.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2242749.4%211 W · 216 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eaf…1f76backed Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.725773.7%42 W · 15 L+8.9wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+24%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2801…ebdcbacked Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.021050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under51c50.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.563647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d28…0d64backed Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265437%20 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ec7…4b43backed Over54c47.97$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.982642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over60c41.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.569563.2%60 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.521150.2%106 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under53c37.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8826054.6%142 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03dd…49c8backed Under52c37.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.292642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over54c36.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0525345.8%116 W · 137 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under52c36.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0465751.4%338 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c3c…8290backed Under53c35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.551936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over47c32.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2334448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under53c30.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.359430.9%29 W · 65 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x58ac…7636backed Over40c29.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.672842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f7…680bbacked Under75c26.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Under59c26.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3912359.3%73 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over45c24.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6230054%162 W · 138 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under51c24.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6419245.8%88 W · 104 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd238…ee03backed Under52c23.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.199336.6%34 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Under52c22.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.718939.3%35 W · 54 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under64c18.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.719460.6%57 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e1…b1aebacked Under57c17.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.