WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15424860debdb07ce106298c703d3464e04b1f3f5fa70434b5280675a4e46f7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phoenix Mercuryof Golden State Valkyries, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $360,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $362,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 40c | 36,171$14,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,578.4 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd6…c61ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 33,357$18,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,219.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 13c | 18,346$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,970.82 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Phoenix Mercury | 40c | 14,362$5,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,597.14 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 11,852$6,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,544.29 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 10,452$5,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,643.85 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 36c | 7,341$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,728.03 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 6,403$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,403.18 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 36c | 5,550$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,551.97 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Golden State Valkyries | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed Golden State Valkyries | 28c | 4,861$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.15 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 4,707$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.9 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c79…42aebacked Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 4,337$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 40c | 4,254$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.35 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8462…d07ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 59c | 4,104$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.98 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Phoenix Mercury | 40c | 3,754$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.5 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Golden State Valkyries | 9c | 3,751$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.26 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries | 63c | 3,296$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.65 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 3,264$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.59 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 60c | 3,081$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.23 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Golden State Valkyries | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.98 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 2,989$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.79 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…f05bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 2,370$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 2,184$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.78 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Golden State Valkyries | 36c | 2,136$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.28 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x552d…8c54backed Golden State Valkyries | 61c | 2,080$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Golden State Valkyries | 35c | 2,034$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 1,928$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.25 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 1,838$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.48 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 1,734$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.86 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Golden State Valkyries | 3c | 1,700$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed97…8932backed Golden State Valkyries | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Golden State Valkyries | 64c | 1,634$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.05 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 1,564$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.26 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 1,448$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.95 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 1,425$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 1,384$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86de…1820backed Golden State Valkyries | 68c | 1,361$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c66…76cdbacked Phoenix Mercury | 39c | 1,338$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.46 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 1,335$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.2 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Golden State Valkyries | 36c | 1,323$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.93 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Golden State Valkyries | 32c | 1,303$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.46 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Phoenix Mercury | 38c | 1,250$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.7 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…ee2bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 1,211$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…6077backed Phoenix Mercury | 38c | 1,190$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 60c | 1,169$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.18 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Phoenix Mercury | 40c | 1,116$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.81 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Golden State Valkyries | 35c | 1,085$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.44 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 1,081$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +91%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x638d…3d87backed Phoenix Mercury | 74c | 1,069$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Phoenix Mercury | 40c | 1,044$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Golden State Valkyries | 34c | 1,043$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.03 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Golden State Valkyries | 41c | 1,011$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.16 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Golden State Valkyries | 61c | 980.15$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Golden State Valkyries | 62c | 970.65$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.81 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Golden State Valkyries | 36c | 899.96$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.98 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Golden State Valkyries | 60c | 869.5$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.84 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Golden State Valkyries | 29c | 858.72$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.78 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 855.4$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 808.6$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.28 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Golden State Valkyries | 63c | 800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 785.63$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.83 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed Golden State Valkyries | 57c | 784.12$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Golden State Valkyries | 74c | 778.16$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.11 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.17 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Phoenix Mercury | 74c | 720$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Golden State Valkyries | 18c | 712.77$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Golden State Valkyries | 35c | 709.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Golden State Valkyries | 40c | 699.72$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.75 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Phoenix Mercury | 40c | 664.23$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.54 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 635.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 629.59$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Golden State Valkyries | 22c | 613$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.41 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0989…c570backed Golden State Valkyries | 62c | 600$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Golden State Valkyries | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac1…d5a6backed Golden State Valkyries | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 578.24$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.13 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Phoenix Mercury | 76c | 555.81$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 15c | 528$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Golden State Valkyries | 73c | 523.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.94 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Golden State Valkyries | 17c | 510.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Golden State Valkyries | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Golden State Valkyries | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Golden State Valkyries | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Phoenix Mercury | 38c | 489.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.79 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Golden State Valkyries | 30c | 487.74$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.94 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 473.17$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.23 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 7c | 464.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Golden State Valkyries | 24c | 460$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 68c | 440.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Phoenix Mercury | 40c | 427.14$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Golden State Valkyries | 25c | 424$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 61c | 414.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 402.78$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.52 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Golden State Valkyries | 61c | 401.16$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.23 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Golden State Valkyries | 63c | 401$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.63 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 25c | 400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 14c | 399.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercurythis page
- Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 155.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 156.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 157.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 158.5Over won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-3.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-4.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.