TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c79…42ae

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
27
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Cricket, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Cricket at 50 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick26cpaid-73.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.85
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.13
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,626Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,626
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,688Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+246.9%+$6,637.05
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,296.86
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.46
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,715Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,714.94
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$944Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$943.84
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$4,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,098.39
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$5,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,684.93
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,280.84
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-52.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.4
Targu Mures: Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Mia Risticbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$6,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,044.31
Vancouver: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Hayato Matsuokabacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$692
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNallybacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$979.52
Makarska: Lola Radivojevic vs Mia Risticbacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,162
Makarska: Katarzyna Kawa vs Maya Jointbacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$2,081.76
Birmingham: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Katie Swanbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,227.08
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$552.07
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,342Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$4,547.18
All 10 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,047.89
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$713Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$712.69
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,348.73
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$5,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,443.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.