MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ddf471b8de2e84ee8c678ed3a267784b5c26ac564c5f454523a17a3464f1fe9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Kansas City Royals, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 58,008$20,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,704.93 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 32,245$20,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,959.45 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 19,591$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 16,573$10,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,272.02 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 11,495$4,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,540.47 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kansas City Royals | 70c | 9,423$6,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.04 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 8,500$5,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,525.02 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 7,692$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 63c | 6,442$4,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.96 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 33c | 5,526$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.58 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 4,305$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.61 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Minnesota Twins | 65c | 3,557$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 3,133$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.37 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Minnesota Twins | 0c | 3,058$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Minnesota Twins | 3c | 2,935$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c79…42aebacked Minnesota Twins | 20c | 2,772$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.46 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 2,586$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.78 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 2,460$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.99 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Minnesota Twins | 5c | 2,204$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 1,868$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.94 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Minnesota Twins | 64c | 1,421$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.42 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 1,267$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.58 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,130$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.73 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 1,116$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.03 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 21c | 1,066$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Minnesota Twins | 25c | 1,020$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.59 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 903.11$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Minnesota Twins | 29c | 897.65$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.41 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 57c | 864.69$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.23 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…244dbacked Minnesota Twins | 65c | 800$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Minnesota Twins | 63c | 790.35$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.92 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 664.43$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.11 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 617$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.61 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 576.92$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…d371backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 550$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 516.46$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.09 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Minnesota Twins | 33c | 505$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.7 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Kansas City Royals | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Minnesota Twins | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f3…c5c2backed Minnesota Twins | 9c | 466.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 461.17$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.15 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Minnesota Twins | 5c | 424$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 411.28$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.95 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 64c | 400$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 390$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kansas City Royals | 35c | 378$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.56 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 357.67$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.91 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Minnesota Twins | 65c | 333.33$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.66 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kansas City Royals | 75c | 324.99$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 323.33$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.93 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 321.77$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.26 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Minnesota Twins | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Minnesota Twins | 19c | 300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Minnesota Twins | 65c | 297.52$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.39 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Minnesota Twins | 5c | 284.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 280$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…66f2backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…ea98backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 275.02$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Minnesota Twins | 14c | 259.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 249.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.49 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Minnesota Twins | 65c | 209.86$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.41 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 204.71$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.01 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…0947backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 194.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 188.74$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…75e0backed Kansas City Royals | 80c | 187.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 184.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 180$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 178.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.21 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 167.12$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e56…a7f6backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 161.54$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 160$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 159.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 155$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x967f…a5d9backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 146.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 143 | 72.7%104 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Minnesota Twins | 29c | 144.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Kansas City Royals | 35c | 140$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Kansas City Royals | 68c | 131.94$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Kansas City Royals | 35c | 129.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.49 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 129.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Kansas City Royals | 62c | 125.28$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 124.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 123.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff1…4ec0backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 120.1$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 115.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 350 | 47.4%166 W · 184 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c89…57b7backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 112.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 130 | 76.2%99 W · 31 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Minnesota Twins | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-4.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota TwinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.