MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ec121d774f023f80b324ead4ea9e24dc52ec3e8a2134dcd0dfa48ec2d9528fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,037,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,041,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,037,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 299,611$169,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,762.46 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 186,052$106,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,002.26 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 130,136$62,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,264.84 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,000 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 91,001$39,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,130.35 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 76,717$32,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,410.29 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 64,286$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,285.71 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 54,000$23,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,760 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 50,000$21,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,500 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 44,933$19,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,321.09 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 27,741$11,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,969.02 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 24,800$10,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,031.43 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 22,927$7,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,794.11 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 22,223$9,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,555.89 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Cincinnati Reds | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 17,000$7,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,310 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 14,355$7,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,816.83 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 14,107$6,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,105.93 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 13,523$5,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,814.89 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 12,842$7,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,777.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 12,533$7,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,387.47 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 12,500$5,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,375 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 11,850$5,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,315.91 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 11,797$5,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,072.63 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 10,588$4,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,552.84 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 10,567$4,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,544 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 8,853$3,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935.95 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 8,414$3,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,891.24 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 5,800$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…0061backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 5,363$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c79…42aebacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 5,130$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.86 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 4,751$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.93 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 4,584$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.17 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.29 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 4,018$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.86 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 4,010$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.54 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 2,861$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.08 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 2,791$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 2,791$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cincinnati Reds | 2c | 2,304$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 2,287$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.7 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 2,253$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.58 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 2,236$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.44 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 2,223$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.58 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 2,136$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.71 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 2,131$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.67 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 2,103$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.76 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,785$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.12 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,750$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.06 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,731$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 1,728$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,728$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.35 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,242$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.32 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.09 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,112$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.4 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,086$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.78 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 1,011$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.61 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 1,005$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.81 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 953.61$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.59 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Cincinnati Reds | 2c | 915.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…4797backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 910$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +61%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…9b55backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Cincinnati Reds | 10c | 887$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 858.6$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.2 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 802.99$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.12 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 696.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.69 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 694.96$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.83 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 675.33$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.39 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 591$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.13 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 572.62$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.68 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 555.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 553.38$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.87 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 531.18$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.57 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 528.78$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.59 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 528.37$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.2 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 525.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 510$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.9 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 500.91$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.41 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 500$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.65 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 498.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.89 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 496.06$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.06 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 467.16$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 463$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.72 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 453.53$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 453$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.58 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 438$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.34 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 426.13$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.