TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Los Angeles Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$541,706
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$560,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $541,706 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels34c48,243$16,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,215.6210,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Los Angeles Angels32c45,175$14,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,558.143,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Houston Astros44c41,638$18,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,155.2230242.4%128 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8201…8a41backed Los Angeles Angels72c26,500$19,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,001.784247.6%20 W · 22 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros61c26,453$16,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,283.1311,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels54c21,928$11,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,853.424,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2a0…b16bbacked Houston Astros48c20,833$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,833.339643.8%42 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros25c15,315$3,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,447.848,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2c79…42aebacked Los Angeles Angels11c14,950$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick26cpaid-73.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Los Angeles Angels44c12,500$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.9736246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros56c10,714$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,714.291,68150.1%842 W · 839 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Los Angeles Angels11c9,973$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.0688446.3%409 W · 475 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Los Angeles Angels39c9,517$3,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,695.3997044.9%436 W · 534 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Houston Astros56c7,227$4,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,179.8871253.4%380 W · 332 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Los Angeles Angels14c7,214$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.7516051.9%83 W · 77 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Houston Astros43c7,174$3,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,057.531,00344.6%447 W · 556 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Houston Astros56c7,143$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,142.8623457.7%135 W · 99 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels44c6,029$2,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,656.933,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Houston Astros61c5,308$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.6762043.1%267 W · 353 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Houston Astros56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20050152.5%263 W · 238 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Los Angeles Angels44c4,545$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9935643.5%155 W · 201 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Los Angeles Angels44c4,545$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9928042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed97…8932backed Houston Astros56c4,464$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.296100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Houston Astros55c4,221$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.441,35850.8%690 W · 668 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Houston Astros55c4,035$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.0175248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.955,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Houston Astros56c3,769$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.219854%107 W · 91 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd47d…322bbacked Los Angeles Angels45c3,532$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.4913552.6%71 W · 64 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Los Angeles Angels32c3,505$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.161,52059.1%899 W · 621 L+78.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked Los Angeles Angels44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3201225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-49.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Houston Astros47c2,965$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.834860.4%29 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Los Angeles Angels14c2,696$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.0652750.1%264 W · 263 L+19.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros34c2,512$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.648,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf423…2cf8backed Houston Astros41c2,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.024100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6451…b57abacked Los Angeles Angels45c2,218$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8715542.6%66 W · 89 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros70c2,084$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.328,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed Houston Astros42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1602166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Houston Astros49c1,918$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.115949.7%79 W · 80 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Houston Astros56c1,800$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79220555.6%114 W · 91 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Houston Astros29c1,660$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.777950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Los Angeles Angels12c1,657$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.97944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Los Angeles Angels19c1,530$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.261,84849.6%917 W · 931 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Los Angeles Angels44c1,365$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.61,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Angels42c1,331$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.949,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Los Angeles Angels44c1,220$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.7227753.1%147 W · 130 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Angels44c1,131$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.972,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Los Angeles Angels45c1,112$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.48646.5%40 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Houston Astros56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.4328851%147 W · 141 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Houston Astros33c1,066$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.8555645.3%252 W · 304 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked Los Angeles Angels70c1,040$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7282347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Houston Astros55c1,031$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.9117961.5%110 W · 69 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Los Angeles Angels44c999.98$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.991,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Los Angeles Angels6c913.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.821,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa577…91e3backed Houston Astros56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.865855.2%32 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Houston Astros45c873.52$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.7838057.4%218 W · 162 L+1.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Houston Astros42c828.09$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.097135.2%25 W · 46 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Los Angeles Angels44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35232850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Los Angeles Angels8c786.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.849353.8%50 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Houston Astros40c771.07$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.9682636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston Astros55c760.95$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.824,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Houston Astros56c750$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33018749.2%92 W · 95 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Los Angeles Angels39c737.94$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.1348851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Houston Astros56c722.68$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.9837546.9%176 W · 199 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Houston Astros56c715.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.3827757%158 W · 119 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Houston Astros55c689.85$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.245,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels44c685.02$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.416,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed Houston Astros45c599.98$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.997456.8%42 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Los Angeles Angels45c597$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.6557758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Los Angeles Angels42c580.29$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.041,79750.4%906 W · 891 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Houston Astros43c577.9$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.1386948.4%421 W · 448 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa177…4b0dbacked Los Angeles Angels19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012132.2%39 W · 82 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabd0…fe12backed Houston Astros56c507.14$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.142454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Houston Astros37c499.99$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9936729.4%108 W · 259 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb88…0e4cbacked Houston Astros56c494.64$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.6411064.5%71 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f8b…37c8backed Los Angeles Angels69c490.07$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.159970.7%70 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea5…26e3backed Houston Astros52c479.09$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.0919554.4%106 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfffa…17c5backed Houston Astros67c469.36$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.744759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Los Angeles Angels45c466.77$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21046152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Angels63c459.67$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.784,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Angels34c447.46$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.583,46051.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L+107.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Houston Astros56c445.61$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.0737052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Los Angeles Angels13c428.89$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.612050.8%61 W · 59 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Los Angeles Angels66c402.93$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.3135668.8%245 W · 111 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8c…01c9backed Houston Astros35c399.96$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.975141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Angels45c389$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.052,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros39c383.18$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.334,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Los Angeles Angels17c382.35$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6523155%127 W · 104 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Houston Astros40c370.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.8811743.6%51 W · 66 L-13.1wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb7aa…08c3backed Houston Astros56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.147655.3%42 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf9a…0bf3backed Houston Astros56c350.88$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.393764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Los Angeles Angels30c345.71$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9534139.9%136 W · 205 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Los Angeles Angels50c334.41$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7553655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Houston Astros45c333$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.155536.4%20 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Los Angeles Angels41c332.37$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0728750.9%146 W · 141 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08cd…f35fbacked Houston Astros56c321.43$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.432343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Los Angeles Angels5c312.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167416.2%12 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick7cpaid+74.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Houston Astros32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.516539.4%65 W · 100 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Houston Astros70c304.29$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.12,09351.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L+44.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Los Angeles Angels49c303.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9946255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Houston Astros55c299.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9959252.7%312 W · 280 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.