MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8b190e21c972e601622381310130287074606046ea72f86c1904f32083fb8ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Cincinnati Reds, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $712,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $706,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $712,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 99,059$31,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,024.74 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed New York Mets | 52c | 84,148$43,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,391.23 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed New York Mets | 69c | 71,880$49,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,282.52 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 55,188$26,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,490.24 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets | 52c | 32,221$16,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,465.81 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 31,250$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 22,727$6,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,805.87 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c79…42aebacked Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 21,092$5,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,684.93 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked New York Mets | 53c | 18,860$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,863.98 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed New York Mets | 52c | 18,000$9,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,639.89 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 15,760$5,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,715.07 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 15,239$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.7 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed New York Mets | 52c | 13,640$7,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,547.14 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 13,202$3,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,493.16 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked New York Mets | 53c | 11,400$6,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,358 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…5715backed Cincinnati Reds | 15c | 9,663$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 8,802$4,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,137.1 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed New York Mets | 71c | 8,663$6,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.29 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 8,500$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.85 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 8,242$3,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,956.26 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 7,957$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.24 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked New York Mets | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.17 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…b112backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 7,530$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed New York Mets | 77c | 5,945$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.43 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 5,843$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.03 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 5,496$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Mets | 65c | 5,191$3,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.71 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38f…5048backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 5,104$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed New York Mets | 66c | 5,000$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.95 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked New York Mets | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed New York Mets | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.98 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 4,551$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.82 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 4,500$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.4 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 4,283$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.91 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 53c | 4,250$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Mets | 62c | 3,521$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.4 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed New York Mets | 53c | 3,396$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.23 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Mets | 69c | 3,203$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.9 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…d4bfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 2c | 3,185$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets | 79c | 3,163$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.54 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 3,103$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 3,057$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.97 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.97 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 2,821$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.11 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets | 75c | 2,747$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.77 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.84 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…5964backed Cincinnati Reds | 16c | 1,954$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.11 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked New York Mets | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 1,882$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.22 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,849$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.46 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 1,849$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.53 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…25f9backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 1,630$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.67 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,558$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.84 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,496$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.15 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,465$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.45 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…bbc3backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,395$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 1,329$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.5 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 1,329$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.1 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 1,312$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.1 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 52c | 1,295$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.54 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 1,155$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.69 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked New York Mets | 65c | 1,139$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.65 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 64c | 1,118$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.23 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked New York Mets | 68c | 1,092$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.93 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked New York Mets | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked New York Mets | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…a24abacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 993.62$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.94 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 984.98$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.4 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed New York Mets | 66c | 964.61$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.29 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed New York Mets | 76c | 908.71$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.83 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 871.37$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.97 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 859.22$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.95 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 841$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.27 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 836.73$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.26 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 836$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.28 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 823.57$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.36 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 767.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed New York Mets | 77c | 764.03$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.75 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked New York Mets | 68c | 750$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed New York Mets | 52c | 692.31$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.31 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d5d2backed New York Mets | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 78cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets | 75c | 666.05$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.17 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed New York Mets | 79c | 665.43$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.05 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed New York Mets | 63c | 659.26$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.58 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked New York Mets | 78c | 650.61$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.56 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets | 71c | 644.39$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.52 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked New York Mets | 70c | 642.86$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed New York Mets | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked New York Mets | 74c | 535.95$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.35 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed New York Mets | 66c | 535.67$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.61 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 531.22$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.83 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked New York Mets | 79c | 508.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 9c | 500$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.