WNBA · resolved market
Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x556d064b659a61257d89360d5990210472432bb6a9f11e26af84e5eae7fbb90b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…9723backed No | 57c | 1,194$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.98 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +6.8wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…1f13backed Yes | 42c | 720.76$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes | 6c | 489$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df9…3a84backed No | 70c | 350$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…8eefbacked Yes | 45c | 278.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 43c | 264.19$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…f6d7backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…79c3backed Yes | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 55c | 51.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…7a6bbacked Yes | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 42c | 26.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.5this page
- Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix MercuryPhoenix Mercury won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 155.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 156.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 157.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 158.5Over won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-3.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-4.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.