WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe59733edf6fead9daac7df89ee9ebf9141e3b5645f0e9727a07ec21bc289a4a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1681…5032backed Under | 53c | 4,322$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.25 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 2,336$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.96 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 45c | 1,710$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.61 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 79c | 1,414$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.96 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 24c | 1,156$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.54 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Under | 55c | 735.2$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.84 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 699.04$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.57 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 79c | 608.49$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.81 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…cc85backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 21c | 427.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 12c | 399.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 5c | 392.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 32c | 297$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…043abacked Under | 56c | 285.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 55c | 239.31$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.03 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 237.26$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 47c | 236.93$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…8a08backed Under | 56c | 214.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 20c | 202.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Over | 50c | 201.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 44c | 178.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.61 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bed…65a7backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…3d2ebacked Under | 56c | 177.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Under | 80c | 157$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 11c | 157$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 31c | 147.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 44c | 137.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Over | 44c | 130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 26c | 128.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 22c | 128$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Over | 46c | 125.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552e…cdcfbacked Under | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc1…5da4backed Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Over | 44c | 95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…067bbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 47c | 76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 55c | 74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 55c | 74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 55c | 74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 55c | 74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 50c | 57.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 43c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 44c | 40.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…c5b9backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…e580backed Under | 56c | 35.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 48c | 33.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 55c | 28.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Under | 54c | 24.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Over | 44c | 22.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 69c | 15.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.