WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6e905911287411ffd93b5f68a99b03deab248afd424bd7efb6acba5a3901295
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Under | 53c | 4,118$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.09 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 3,155$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.53 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…aac5backed Under | 55c | 1,820$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2b…32f3backed Under | 55c | 1,173$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 1,142$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.31 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 47c | 562.89$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.56 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 512$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.52 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 48c | 375.3$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 46c | 239.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.91 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 44c | 223.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 52c | 219.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 28c | 219.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Over | 47c | 219.47$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…d366backed Under | 56c | 215.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 190.07$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 183.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.52 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…b757backed Under | 56c | 155.89$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 137.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x594f…7d49backed Under | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 29c | 118$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 45c | 97.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 52c | 89.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 52c | 53.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 50.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 48c | 41.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Over | 49c | 40.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 49c | 39.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 50c | 39.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Over | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 46c | 24.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Under | 53c | 20.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.