WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ac3fc67e2bad27bf481a73ddc93c7a8dca04327ca70d6ea1f8c6c5c2e61ca25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 52c | 23,237$12,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,073.71 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 10,325$4,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,418.64 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…9970backed Over | 49c | 3,725$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 3,507$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.21 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 2,442$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.59 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Over | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.81 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 47c | 1,550$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 49c | 1,100$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked Under | 51c | 1,088$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.12 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +78%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 999.98$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.13 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 7c | 891.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 616.26$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.26 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 610.98$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.66 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 51c | 560.22$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.51 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 548$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.93 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 51c | 526.02$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.11 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…3ca0backed Under | 51c | 307.84$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 50c | 300$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.57 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…7d93backed Over | 49c | 287.31$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.78 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 261$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 48c | 256.4$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.66 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 215.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 48c | 194.23$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba31…8794backed Over | 38c | 192.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 51c | 182.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Under | 49c | 179.56$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 160.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83e…84a3backed Under | 52c | 151.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 33c | 148$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 48c | 132$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 55c | 125.35$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 33c | 124.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 48c | 111.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 33c | 105$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 50c | 104.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa560…767dbacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under | 50c | 93.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea53…e1ebbacked Over | 51c | 38.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…4ac7backed Under | 51c | 38.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 50c | 36.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 49c | 35.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 52c | 35.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3c…8290backed Under | 49c | 30.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 43c | 26.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Under | 62c | 25.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 49c | 25.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 71c | 23.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 21.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.