WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6f77d4489a371455b83c38ce21d01de8ed4ae980aa7cde785789e9e498700b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Dallas Wings, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 2,654$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.28 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 2,576$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.35 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 2,344$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.7 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…aac5backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 1,853$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.44 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Washington Mystics | 56c | 1,605$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.67 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -16.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2b…32f3backed Dallas Wings | 56c | 1,154$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +78%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 946.64$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.61 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 799.98$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.99 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 463.06$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.89 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 334.07$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.4 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Dallas Wings | 40c | 299.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Dallas Wings | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x552e…cdcfbacked Dallas Wings | 55c | 167.2$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington Mystics | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 105.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 103.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 102.32$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Washington Mystics | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…cba2backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 58.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 56.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 44.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 41.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 40.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 40.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 35.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 31.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Washington Mystics | 56c | 20.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…d3dbbacked Washington Mystics | 56c | 19.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.