WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbacb876a00e8754d97c4c9137d338a185ce021031f45dcd8dd893fead9a2efb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Dallas Wings, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 16,829$8,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,245.59 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 16,346$8,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,009.54 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 13,446$6,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,588.53 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 12,245$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 6,424$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,147.96 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.69 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.7 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 1,368$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.06 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 1,050$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.5 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 990$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 773.4$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.4 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 626.31$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.96 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 442.31$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.31 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Dallas Wings | 31c | 388.91$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.87 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 328$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.53 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 298.41$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.04 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb78b…de1abacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 261.22$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics | 71c | 236.19$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf931…516abacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 226.92$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x966f…5cdcbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 221.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 190.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 162$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.02 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Washington Mystics | 60c | 152$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dallas Wings | 8c | 151.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 146.84$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Dallas Wings | 39c | 127.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Washington Mystics | 73c | 123.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Dallas Wings | 17c | 121.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Dallas Wings | 48c | 106.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 95.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 92.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 90.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafe…33a6backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 66.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dallas Wings | 39c | 58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 57.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…63c2backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 56.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Dallas Wings | 48c | 49.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dallas Wings | 23c | 48.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 41.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…dbcdbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 38.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Washington Mystics | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…4ac7backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 29.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed Dallas Wings | 44c | 28.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 37cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Washington Mystics | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Washington Mystics | 60c | 17.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Washington Mystics | 76c | 15.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Washington Mystics | 75c | 15.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Washington Mystics | 73c | 14.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.