WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 180.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1dbff8660e94b28d3a4deeece15aa5d938097b1f18547c8d3adaa47664304b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 54c | 26,257$14,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,078.65 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.92 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.99 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 3,750$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.92 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 49c | 3,600$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Over | 49c | 2,985$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.68 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 2,426$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.75 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 2,419$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.44 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 1,635$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.58 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 1c | 1,349$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 47c | 1,050$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Over | 54c | 920.26$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 46c | 902.45$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.32 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Over | 49c | 818.87$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 48c | 814.98$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.14 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Over | 53c | 640.42$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.02 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 490.71$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.7 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 46c | 474$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.1 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 47c | 453.89$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.56 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 420.45$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.84 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 20c | 380.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 48c | 379.63$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.41 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 47c | 338$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.34 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…db42backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Over | 53c | 267.92$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 9c | 204.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Over | 50c | 201.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 193.89$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.64 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf316…c97fbacked Under | 52c | 186.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 19c | 149.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 47c | 138$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 134.94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 126.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 49c | 104$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 77c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 52c | 82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.33per pick | 42cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 79.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed Under | 80c | 77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…ab71backed Under | 54c | 69.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 48c | 68.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 49c | 64.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Over | 51c | 58.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked Over | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 52c | 47.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 47c | 43.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 47c | 40.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1957…0e20backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Under | 48c | 38.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…7192backed Over | 53c | 37.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 36.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 46c | 36.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Under | 47c | 34.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Under | 48c | 33.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 49c | 30.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…e580backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed Under | 46c | 26.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Under | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 52c | 23.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed Over | 54c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 180.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas WingsAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 179.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 181.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.