WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fd2e7435d29a739a176cb54c3594b8b18ad518268daa5b4623fa1295242f94d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 3c | 3,024$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Over | 30c | 1,205$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.36 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 68c | 1,157$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.16 | 328 | 49.4%162 W · 166 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 56c | 1,151$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.16 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 887.91$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.78 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Over | 58c | 799.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 758.2$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.94 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Over | 66c | 602.59$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 57c | 561.44$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.88 | 327 | 49.5%162 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 42c | 534.83$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.76 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…7d93backed Over | 63c | 299.92$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.95 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 46c | 276$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.42 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 32c | 248.34$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 239.15$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 42c | 199.21$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Under | 62c | 160.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 40c | 117.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Over | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 42c | 112.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 74c | 106.02$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 370 | 54.1%200 W · 170 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Under | 67c | 102.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 43c | 97.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 44c | 94.49$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Under | 53c | 92.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 62c | 88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 321 | 48.6%156 W · 165 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdadb…9182backed Over | 12c | 81.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 26c | 79.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Over | 16c | 73.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 79c | 62.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Over | 54c | 61.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 51c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Under | 43c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 46.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 46.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 64c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Over | 58c | 44.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 44.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 65c | 40.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 43c | 39.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Under | 48c | 38.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…86e7backed Under | 43c | 35.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3c…8290backed Over | 57c | 28.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 77c | 20.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed Over | 59c | 19.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba9b…41f9backed Over | 60c | 18.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…3144backed Over | 60c | 17.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas WingsAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 179.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 180.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 181.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.