WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 181.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x920609e74deb729c48253ee3cbd84c26febde263584ba71f8a8d6ed749ceda65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Under | 50c | 25,574$12,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,792.99 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 50c | 14,435$7,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,217.5 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3d…3735backed Over | 51c | 9,488$4,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,881.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 52c | 8,730$4,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,527.26 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 50c | 7,929$3,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,983.37 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 50c | 6,123$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.52 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 5,671$2,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.13 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Under | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.91 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Under | 51c | 4,711$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.51 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 3,825$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.84 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 3,596$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.89 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 2,779$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.6 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 49c | 1,901$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.49 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 1,774$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.6 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 48c | 1,572$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.61 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 49c | 1,050$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 50c | 1,013$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.4 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 50c | 918$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 3c | 836.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 49c | 731.2$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.91 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 49c | 683.49$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.08 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Under | 47c | 641.14$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Over | 50c | 569.32$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.66 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Over | 51c | 529.41$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 521.19$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.83 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 75c | 399.99$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 18c | 376.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 50c | 371$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 25c | 352.93$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 50c | 345$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 48c | 335.79$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.23 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 52c | 289.56$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeae2…d963backed Over | 52c | 280.33$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…7d93backed Under | 70c | 269.42$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.85 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 49c | 215$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 207.07$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.46 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 153.85$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 18c | 138.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 11c | 112.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed Over | 49c | 112$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Over | 35c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 48c | 84.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Over | 49c | 78.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Under | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 78c | 67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 21c | 55.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 50c | 46.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed Under | 48c | 43.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 42.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 51c | 40.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Over | 49c | 39.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Over | 51c | 39.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…86e7backed Over | 50c | 35.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 49c | 34.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Over | 52c | 27.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbef…848cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…1ea7backed Over | 54c | 19.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 181.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas WingsAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 179.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 180.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.