WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 156.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf96a25c30a220b3f90d1bbb4ee629ed3abfca80aebdc16f073dfb93c529c827
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 25,389$14,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,125.84 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 41c | 5,050$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.5 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 41c | 4,135$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.61 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 43c | 2,769$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.96 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 2,729$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.95 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 2,149$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 44c | 2,087$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.8 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 1,741$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.43 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 45c | 1,039$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.83 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 846.15$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.65 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 616.51$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.85 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 8c | 486.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 47c | 459.11$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.83 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 36c | 337.96$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.81 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 64c | 323.2$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.69 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 47c | 276$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.72 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 45c | 262.67$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.32 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Under | 49c | 241.22$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 239.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 55c | 218$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.34 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 48c | 148.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 46c | 148$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 39c | 142.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 43c | 120$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 44c | 86.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 41c | 85.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Under | 48c | 73.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed Over | 63c | 63.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 63.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Under | 47c | 62.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 37c | 45.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…f069backed Under | 48c | 39.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed7…aae7backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 45c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Under | 49c | 38.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x305c…146abacked Under | 37c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 50c | 29.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Under | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…e580backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 58c | 25.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Under | 47c | 25.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba31…8794backed Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1b…f28abacked Over | 57c | 21.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 20.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 156.5this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 157.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 158.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5Over won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-6.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.