WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56a34183780427aaaab916793bce7fcf1c3b8bc1c77d21ca279bed3f153f159d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Washington Mystics, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 15,779$8,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,087.17 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 6,200$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,162 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 3,440$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.92 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…c707backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 2,926$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 1,255$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.55 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics | 60c | 796.45$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.61 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Connecticut Sun | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Connecticut Sun | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…0bf3backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 266.54$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Connecticut Sun | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 172.82$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.14 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Connecticut Sun | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…8eefbacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 96.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Connecticut Sun | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 69.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 54.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Connecticut Sun | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…4ee7backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 53.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -74%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Connecticut Sun | 52c | 49.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Washington Mystics | 64c | 35.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Washington Mystics | 45c | 26.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Washington Mystics | 64c | 23.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 23.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-6.5)this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 156.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 157.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 158.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5Over won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.