WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 158.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93f7a2d58dcce9b8c4ee201de7226f4a0add385d4e53d6a9cd39fee1aae403de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 53c | 10,543$5,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,964.93 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 44c | 4,760$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.15 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 2,594$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.6 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 51c | 2,535$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.93 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 47c | 2,308$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.57 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 52c | 2,064$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.98 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 47c | 1,458$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.26 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 48c | 1,343$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.78 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 57c | 1,137$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.95 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 43c | 1,044$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.04 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 45c | 965.37$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.3 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 44c | 683.61$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.72 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 49c | 657.51$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.97 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 43c | 486.77$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.52 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Over | 63c | 474.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.82 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 451$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.48 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 52c | 435.75$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.16 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 46c | 366.57$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.97 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Under | 48c | 304.17$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 50c | 280.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.48 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 277.84$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.88 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 48c | 276$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 234.06$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.05 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 195.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…fcd1backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Over | 56c | 129.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 113.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 49c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Under | 47c | 98.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 48c | 98.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…d4b0backed Under | 48c | 95.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 47c | 95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc262…6587backed Under | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 88.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 50c | 83.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 33c | 73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 57c | 67.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 63.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 47c | 53.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 52c | 49.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 53c | 44.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 47c | 43.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 44c | 38.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Under | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 49c | 27.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 158.5this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 156.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 157.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5Over won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-6.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.