WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0f4dd4099df08f61b5eaec5525cc0f6516b491497153a867aa956f633b12517
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 51c | 1,346$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.57 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 52c | 966.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.29 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 19c | 725.92$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.05 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 14c | 699.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 439.63$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.94 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Under | 6c | 372.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 224.51$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 69c | 214.07$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 143.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 48c | 140.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed Under | 40c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Under | 37c | 99.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 60c | 95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 71c | 50.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 65c | 29.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x770f…ac44backed Over | 62c | 21.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Over | 62c | 21.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Over | 71c | 18.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 156.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 157.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 158.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5Over won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-6.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.