TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Washington Mysticsof Connecticut Sun, Washington Mystics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$262,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$276,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,536 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b9a…5f69backed Connecticut Sun0c47,945$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.79100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun38c15,579$5,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,854.671,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Washington Mystics70c14,978$10,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,484.4810463.5%66 W · 38 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Connecticut Sun40c12,206$4,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,842.0378548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Connecticut Sun33c9,237$3,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,006.6510338.8%40 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Washington Mystics69c8,880$6,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,752.759245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Connecticut Sun31c7,000$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.9827449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Washington Mystics63c6,414$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,343.3599548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Connecticut Sun30c6,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8001050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Connecticut Sun32c6,000$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.9983748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Washington Mystics61c4,962$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.737259.7%43 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Connecticut Sun21c4,685$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.4774942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Connecticut Sun30c3,600$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06217946.4%83 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Connecticut Sun30c3,067$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.1314942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Washington Mystics59c3,007$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.2336750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Washington Mystics66c2,356$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.0655255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd21c…2afcbacked Washington Mystics68c2,178$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.011662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x565f…e7dfbacked Connecticut Sun35c2,059$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Washington Mystics59c1,998$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.21450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Connecticut Sun13c1,970$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.7919428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ceb…b821backed Washington Mystics66c1,900$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6373053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Washington Mystics66c1,896$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.8936154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Washington Mystics54c1,844$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.741838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Washington Mystics54c1,823$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.812846.1%59 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Mystics59c1,623$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.719458.2%113 W · 81 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Connecticut Sun40c1,565$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.6589349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Connecticut Sun44c1,558$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.975149%25 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked Washington Mystics63c1,398$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.162835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Connecticut Sun44c1,349$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Connecticut Sun34c1,327$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.17825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Connecticut Sun2c1,290$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.88228%23 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Washington Mystics67c1,130$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.2720340.9%83 W · 120 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c85…9634backed Connecticut Sun34c1,037$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.581323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-59.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Washington Mystics77c1,016$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.562272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Connecticut Sun1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109642.7%41 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Washington Mystics69c992.5$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.68966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Washington Mystics71c985.92$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.928061.3%49 W · 31 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Washington Mystics69c985$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.35862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Connecticut Sun32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012234.4%42 W · 80 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Connecticut Sun3c925$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8550952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Connecticut Sun38c832$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.7612144.6%54 W · 67 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Washington Mystics65c831.99$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.210445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…38c8backed Washington Mystics57c800$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3423357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Connecticut Sun21c779.73$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.731847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Connecticut Sun32c776.96$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.638733.3%29 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…5af9backed Washington Mystics65c773.45$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62a…f05bbacked Washington Mystics66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.583073.3%22 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Connecticut Sun42c700$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29432540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Connecticut Sun38c685$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.2231043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43fe…26eebacked Connecticut Sun4c660$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248535.3%30 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Connecticut Sun15c623.61$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0232150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Connecticut Sun25c609.29$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.1616633.1%55 W · 111 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc306…accdbacked Washington Mystics69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1864456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Washington Mystics69c558.77$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Connecticut Sun24c541.14$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.114645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Washington Mystics61c538.71$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.716055%33 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Connecticut Sun27c521.23$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5619031.1%59 W · 131 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf731…e5c2backed Washington Mystics71c509.86$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.862646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Connecticut Sun29c507.18$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.0840550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Connecticut Sun29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.774235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Connecticut Sun29c500$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9110340.8%42 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Washington Mystics69c438.5$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5650646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Connecticut Sun30c430$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1299139.6%36 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Connecticut Sun18c415.58$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2234918.3%64 W · 285 L-49.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Connecticut Sun33c389$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3431448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics67c373.76$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.991,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x360a…2313backed Washington Mystics54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Washington Mystics68c363$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2526953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Connecticut Sun32c343.78$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0171245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Connecticut Sun30c333.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9934448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac1…d5a6backed Washington Mystics66c333$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.228657%49 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Connecticut Sun34c319.97$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.897945.6%36 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Connecticut Sun29c308.28$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1836454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7039…4a7dbacked Washington Mystics68c305.75$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf202…9ea8backed Washington Mystics60c298.76$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.083762.2%23 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94c1…8036backed Connecticut Sun35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001926.3%5 W · 14 L-5.7wins-0.30per pick56cpaid-59.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Washington Mystics70c285.34$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.66934.8%24 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Connecticut Sun28c280$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4215250.7%77 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Connecticut Sun30c276$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4230734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Washington Mystics64c274$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.267368.5%50 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Connecticut Sun31c225.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdf5…d359backed Connecticut Sun15c224.68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.17944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Connecticut Sun29c224.48$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9422446%103 W · 121 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Washington Mystics57c220.4$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.777946.8%37 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x982f…4d1fbacked Washington Mystics71c215.49$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Connecticut Sun39c200.01$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Washington Mystics65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7010249%50 W · 52 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Washington Mystics65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb00…2b37backed Connecticut Sun35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe73…6d77backed Connecticut Sun35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dbd…4219backed Connecticut Sun35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef9a…f58dbacked Washington Mystics65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a9…769ebacked Washington Mystics65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…afdabacked Connecticut Sun35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3657…a0a7backed Connecticut Sun35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66d5…ee81backed Washington Mystics65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95d…2108backed Connecticut Sun35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64a9…09ecbacked Connecticut Sun35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8788…4e20backed Connecticut Sun35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x453b…db4abacked Washington Mystics65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.