WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ef403c3dbd60d9ee71d805be451af3f120809adeb2325d2742c03feeb30a2c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Washington Mystics, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Connecticut Sun | 53c | 5,253$2,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.91 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 2,520$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.75 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 52c | 2,322$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.39 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 2,277$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.07 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa406…bd18backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 1,175$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.15 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 1,100$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 1,080$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.87 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 932$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.72 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 892.83$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.63 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Connecticut Sun | 46c | 790.21$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.5 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 536.17$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 338$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 317.62$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.57 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78b…de1abacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 237.04$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…3a41backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 196.47$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 184.88$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…7d93backed Washington Mystics | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Connecticut Sun | 46c | 132.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 106.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 100.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 93.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Connecticut Sun | 56c | 89.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Connecticut Sun | 47c | 59.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 53.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 48.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Connecticut Sun | 46c | 48.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 47.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 33.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 28.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…209dbacked Connecticut Sun | 52c | 28.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 27.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 26.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 24.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 22.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 21.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Connecticut Sun | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 156.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 157.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 158.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5Over won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-6.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.