MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3de1fc90189e033ef435f509c8a885062abe38043c7ef56269b17076336fa54f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $378,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $379,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 51c | 211,835$107,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,388.92 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 49c | 104,000$50,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,040 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 50c | 75,555$38,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,466.39 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Under | 49c | 25,912$12,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,214.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 55c | 22,516$12,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,134.98 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 17,212$7,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,893.67 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 7,614$3,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,425.32 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 49c | 6,465$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,265.3 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,660 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 5,831$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 4,423$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.92 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…b16bbacked Under | 49c | 4,286$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.71 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 3,413$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.03 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 51c | 3,170$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.11 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 2,655$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.79 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 51c | 2,222$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.78 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 2,181$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.9 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 50c | 1,600$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 1,594$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.54 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 53c | 1,068$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.15 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 891.23$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.61 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 50c | 630.6$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.24 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 602.26$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.59 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 50c | 558.63$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.52 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 49c | 484.8$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.59 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 55c | 458.67$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.19 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 424.76$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.38 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 49c | 371.73$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.15 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Over | 11c | 361$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd3…bed8backed Over | 49c | 330.14$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.19 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 50c | 320.04$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.02 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…c72dbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Over | 49c | 294$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 50c | 266$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.33 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 55c | 245.45$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 49c | 225.09$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.7 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 52c | 211.82$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.34 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 35c | 206.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.45 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 49c | 199$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 50c | 195.01$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 49c | 186.2$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 55c | 183.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 63c | 172.61$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.61 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 142$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 54c | 115$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Under | 52c | 112.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 54c | 111$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Over | 50c | 106$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…af18backed Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 88.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Under | 49c | 85.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…7a58backed Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Over | 45c | 77.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Over | 44c | 77.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Over | 45c | 77.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 50c | 72.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…16c9backed Over | 50c | 72.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 59c | 71.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Over | 47c | 67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 46c | 65.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…5043backed Over | 53c | 56.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 45c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 59c | 53.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 53c | 53.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Under | 50c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 50c | 43.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 48c | 39.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 50c | 39.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Over | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…a7d2backed Over | 53c | 37.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 50c | 36.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 49c | 36.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf194…b52dbacked Under | 52c | 32.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…7fd8backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed Under | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…3a32backed Over | 51c | 31.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Under | 52c | 30.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9169…0359backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Under | 50c | 29.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…dc39backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 49c | 26.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5this page
- New York Mets vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.