TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7f2…3a32

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3767.6%25 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+127.1%+$62.27
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.8
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.09
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$4.67
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.52
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$21.7
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.87
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$6.47
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$13.2
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.24
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$7.91
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$13.13
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$33.23
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$31.87
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.79
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+46%+$9.2
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.69
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$12
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+139.7%+$30.94
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$15.77
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.01
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.12
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$14.48
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.96
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$33.21
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+137.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$33.6
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+131.3%+$21.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$8.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.