TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FaZeof EYEBALLERS, FaZe
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$645,491
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$812,053

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $645,491 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73e3…1be9backed EYEBALLERS24c70,000$16,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,799.9320354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed EYEBALLERS24c50,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,999.9841649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked EYEBALLERS22c44,584$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00016443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked FaZe75c39,855$30,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,803.8375652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed EYEBALLERS22c32,265$7,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,213.321,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed FaZe76c29,375$22,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,050.0111758.1%68 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed FaZe75c27,529$20,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,974.2742142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked EYEBALLERS9c26,000$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,33015245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked EYEBALLERS14c15,256$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid+18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked EYEBALLERS5c14,321$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9629127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe816…1b93backed FaZe76c13,892$10,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,334.151546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked FaZe76c12,518$9,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,004.245451.9%28 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked EYEBALLERS22c11,780$2,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,591.5521424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked FaZe76c10,233$7,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.8947147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked FaZe76c10,125$7,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,429.369047.8%43 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked EYEBALLERS24c9,754$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,379.9522449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed EYEBALLERS26c9,615$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked FaZe76c7,765$5,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,863.664852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed EYEBALLERS22c6,934$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.7825355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed EYEBALLERS10c5,898$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.7119057.9%110 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed EYEBALLERS11c5,394$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.572,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc9d…ec9dbacked FaZe80c3,963$3,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked FaZe76c3,797$2,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.368556.5%48 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed FaZe76c3,500$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.9966851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed EYEBALLERS9c3,338$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.461,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked EYEBALLERS27c3,113$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.221,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed EYEBALLERS25c3,076$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76936742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed EYEBALLERS24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.961,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked FaZe77c2,708$2,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.448948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed EYEBALLERS25c2,289$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.2517643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked EYEBALLERS25c2,220$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5551,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x024a…35a3backed FaZe76c2,195$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.83855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed EYEBALLERS3c2,036$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4510946.8%51 W · 58 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked EYEBALLERS20c1,923$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.381,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed EYEBALLERS24c1,898$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.242860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed FaZe76c1,809$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.1461948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed EYEBALLERS19c1,633$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.7520448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked FaZe75c1,555$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.7532552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked EYEBALLERS25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37552636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bbb…0ee6backed FaZe79c1,500$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed EYEBALLERS24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9924935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed EYEBALLERS26c1,400$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35755845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed EYEBALLERS25c1,376$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34410739.3%42 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked FaZe73c1,371$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.7814659.6%87 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked EYEBALLERS3c1,346$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.638032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed FaZe80c1,320$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26424339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d4d…4065backed FaZe76c1,317$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.082864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed FaZe77c1,226$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.5421060%126 W · 84 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed EYEBALLERS10c1,173$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.324262%150 W · 92 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked EYEBALLERS24c1,171$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.4344747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked EYEBALLERS25c1,158$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.4726045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0f…9f36backed FaZe76c1,113$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.222850%14 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed EYEBALLERS22c1,098$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.5833043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed EYEBALLERS24c1,087$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.9133627.7%93 W · 243 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed EYEBALLERS12c1,010$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2520949.3%103 W · 106 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FaZe76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed EYEBALLERS24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24013646.3%63 W · 73 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf292…a6d3backed EYEBALLERS1c1,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked FaZe78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22011753.8%63 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked FaZe77c999.99$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23011758.1%68 W · 49 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed FaZe74c999.98$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9925145.8%115 W · 136 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked EYEBALLERS2c994.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.23575.3%3 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked EYEBALLERS24c968.94$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23052837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x461d…db9ebacked FaZe76c952.74$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.665052%26 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf953…fa94backed EYEBALLERS11c904.43$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed FaZe76c897.95$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.514751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1dd…e4a3backed EYEBALLERS24c800$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921520%3 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick37cpaid+56.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked FaZe77c800$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18422266.7%148 W · 74 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked EYEBALLERS24c800$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf0…696fbacked FaZe76c778.11$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.751090%9 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+34.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed EYEBALLERS2c758.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.524233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed EYEBALLERS24c750$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18040542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x379c…84fabacked EYEBALLERS8c720$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.025742.1%24 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8154…7d37backed EYEBALLERS15c713.99$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3810030%30 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid+22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed EYEBALLERS24c696.01$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.811,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed EYEBALLERS20c664.11$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.0188746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed EYEBALLERS25c659.96$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.992142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ac…2f1ebacked FaZe76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8927751.6%143 W · 134 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c83…9784backed EYEBALLERS13c650.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-46.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked EYEBALLERS24c648.87$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.7318043.3%78 W · 102 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed EYEBALLERS28c626.83$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.335839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked FaZe77c602.38$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0238157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked EYEBALLERS25c577.01$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.255,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf274…443ebacked FaZe76c556.58$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.582166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked EYEBALLERS39c535$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6540950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac64…cca0backed EYEBALLERS19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7381…d95dbacked EYEBALLERS24c520.83$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked EYEBALLERS5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541516.6%69 W · 346 L-36.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked EYEBALLERS25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12576748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed FaZe77c499.99$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11514363.6%91 W · 52 L-0.4wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebd5…094cbacked EYEBALLERS27c499.98$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1354841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked EYEBALLERS20c489.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8275833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed EYEBALLERS10c481.48$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.122,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked FaZe76c460.53$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.53714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-81.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed FaZe76c460$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.49159.3%54 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked EYEBALLERS18c435.23$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed EYEBALLERS17c423.3$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.956,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba10…bf97backed EYEBALLERS24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021644.4%96 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed EYEBALLERS24c416$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8425643.4%111 W · 145 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed EYEBALLERS24c415$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.655236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.