CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9476817a7185d677876b91868d66989e600db722bf33df67cfc8f319d8d8b5d1

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $7,999
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,122

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,999 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	43c	1,824$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780.42	284	55.6%158 W · 126 L	+15.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under	58c	1,364$784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$579.28	1,496	51.5%771 W · 725 L	-7.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	50c	914.92$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$457.47	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Under	70c	800.77$558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.75	161	42.9%69 W · 92 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	59c	571.31$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.24	619	48%297 W · 322 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Under	54c	525.43$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.87	1,054	49%516 W · 538 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	27c	426.15$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.03	2,626	30.9%812 W · 1,814 L	-105.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over	54c	346.15$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.6	593	43.2%256 W · 337 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2fe…695dbacked Under	60c	333.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.33	149	40.3%60 W · 89 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over	33c	300$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	185	36.2%67 W · 118 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fe…a16abacked Over	41c	292.68$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Over	46c	209.74$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.11	1,083	42.1%456 W · 627 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	27c	177.19$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.63	1,630	43.2%704 W · 926 L	-32.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Under	59c	171.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.89	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+5.9wins	+0.18per pick	43cpaid	+50.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Over	40c	164.67$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.87	158	38%60 W · 98 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over	29c	139$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.8	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Over	41c	131.61$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.96	179	46.4%83 W · 96 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Under	59c	124.59$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.43	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+4.2wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+41.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over	41c	120$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	807	40.3%325 W · 482 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over	42c	120$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	132	40.9%54 W · 78 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd09f…521abacked Over	41c	112.2$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	115	36.5%42 W · 73 L	-7.8wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc115…b0b4backed Over	43c	111.12$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	41c	103.56$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.46	447	47.2%211 W · 236 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under	72c	101.98$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.37	1,365	66.3%905 W · 460 L	+76.1wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Over	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	917	43.7%401 W · 516 L	-35.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	42c	94.84$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.08	2,326	45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Under	59c	92.63$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.98	324	58%188 W · 136 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb4…59d4backed Over	41c	92.29$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.84	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under	59c	75$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	200	45%90 W · 110 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Over	54c	62.28$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.4	390	38.5%150 W · 240 L	-17.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under	58c	59.71$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.08	1,259	42.5%535 W · 724 L	+20.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65fa…4c6abacked Over	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	115	64.3%74 W · 41 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	19c	57.49$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.93	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x306b…179ebacked Under	58c	56$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.52	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+3.6wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Under	57c	56$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.08	67	40.3%27 W · 40 L	-8.0wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under	67c	53.98$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.01	686	59.5%408 W · 278 L	+65.9wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	27c	52.26$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.23	2,473	34.6%855 W · 1,618 L	-188.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4290…af07backed Under	61c	40.98$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.98	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	-5.8wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Over	39c	40.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.98	333	40.2%134 W · 199 L	+13.6wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Over	48c	36.13$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.34	124	55.6%69 W · 55 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Under	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	81	60.5%49 W · 32 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e33…45f6backed Under	58c	30.47$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.8	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ef1…4a76backed Over	43c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	52c	26.55$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.74	1,848	47.6%879 W · 969 L	-55.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under	58c	26$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.92	1,310	53.7%703 W · 607 L	+32.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under	59c	25.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.42	210	60%126 W · 84 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under	59c	22.23$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.06	154	69.5%107 W · 47 L	+8.6wins	+0.06per pick	64cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierFaZe won
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 1 WinnerFaZe won
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 2 WinnerFaZe won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)FaZe won
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)FaZe won
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)FaZe won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event