MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf83dcd877179ed5eea33338d5483630f4eb3b62d0a738179bdef88c40b2bab1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Houston Astros, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $380,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $386,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $380,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 71,358$43,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,720.06 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Houston Astros | 39c | 41,110$16,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,032.9 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 41c | 22,134$9,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,125.54 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 30c | 17,553$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,222.02 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed Houston Astros | 42c | 17,500$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.96 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 17,464$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,687.11 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 15,987$7,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,952.65 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Houston Astros | 22c | 11,646$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.42 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Houston Astros | 1c | 7,947$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Texas Rangers | 64c | 7,499$4,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.01 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 7,306$4,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.58 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 6,692$3,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.11 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 30c | 6,128$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.13 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Texas Rangers | 72c | 6,097$4,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.64 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 56c | 5,669$3,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,152.06 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Houston Astros | 57c | 5,279$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 5,044$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.2 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Houston Astros | 39c | 5,043$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.08 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 52c | 4,170$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.55 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.99 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 56c | 3,469$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.54 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 33c | 3,220$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.16 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Texas Rangers | 74c | 2,763$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.62 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 16c | 2,731$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.14 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 2,174$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.65 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Houston Astros | 43c | 2,023$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.08 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…a5eebacked Houston Astros | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 1,682$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.92 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 1,606$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.53 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Houston Astros | 56c | 1,560$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.79 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 18c | 1,516$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.57 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 1,500$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.57 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Texas Rangers | 69c | 1,485$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.61 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers | 71c | 1,341$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.03 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 1,151$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 1,120$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.28 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 1,105$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.71 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Houston Astros | 25c | 1,080$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.07 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…e8a8backed Houston Astros | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 1,054$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.24 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Houston Astros | 16c | 1,003$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…7449backed Houston Astros | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +178.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc980…b7d3backed Houston Astros | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcae8…63e6backed Houston Astros | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.48per pick | 22cpaid | +242.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Houston Astros | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 55c | 868.97$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.48 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Houston Astros | 56c | 803.57$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 796.56$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.55 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 783.54$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.57 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 33c | 746.85$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.81 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Houston Astros | 28c | 741.96$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.89 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Houston Astros | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.29 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 558$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.75 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Houston Astros | 33c | 550.11$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.37 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 26c | 500.65$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.47 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Houston Astros | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Houston Astros | 39c | 500$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed Houston Astros | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 470$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.63 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Houston Astros | 57c | 462$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.34 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Texas Rangers | 69c | 413.76$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.87 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…91f7backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aa7abacked Texas Rangers | 70c | 384$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.32 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…3f23backed Houston Astros | 45c | 376.87$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Houston Astros | 43c | 363.95$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.56 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 362.91$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.32 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Houston Astros | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…053abacked Houston Astros | 35c | 342.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Houston Astros | 49c | 311$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.39 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Houston Astros | 32c | 307.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Houston Astros | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…215fbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 300$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Houston Astros | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.79 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 44c | 276.54$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.02 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Houston Astros | 35c | 270.74$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.51 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Houston Astros | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 251.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.77 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 241.07$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Houston Astros | 47c | 234.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 229.19$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Texas Rangers | 67c | 225$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Houston Astros | 38c | 220$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Houston Astros | 24c | 207.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Houston Astros | 23c | 207.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 16c | 204.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Houston Astros | 34c | 200.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 200.03$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Houston Astros | 10c | 199.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 15.2%16 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Texas Rangers | 79c | 198.8$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Houston Astros | 38c | 197.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 196.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Houston Astros | 39c | 193.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…14b8backed Houston Astros | 43c | 190.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.