TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$250,733
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$252,975

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,733 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over52c179,087$92,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,714.461,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Under48c150,000$72,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,00043647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd22…430ebacked Under0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c11,662$6,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,169.8110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80036246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10016347.9%78 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Under48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80012343.1%53 W · 70 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over52c9,507$4,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,573.9739047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over52c6,216$3,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,956.1711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Under48c6,170$2,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,961.6128553.3%152 W · 133 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c4,503$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.566,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c2,880$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.38,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Over53c2,342$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.9612152.9%64 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Over52c2,192$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.327651.3%39 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02075248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under53c1,818$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.4811464%73 W · 41 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c1,750$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.545,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over52c1,667$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.161,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under48c1,639$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.342,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under49c1,638$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.444,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over52c1,538$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.4611540%46 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under35c1,378$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.244,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over69c1,358$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.458,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c32…325bbacked Over53c1,095$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.691233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under57c1,055$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.732,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c1,000$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.41,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38492054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under48c780$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.41,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35027249.3%134 W · 138 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a26…1589backed Over43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.678551.8%44 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Over50c666$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33317961.5%110 W · 69 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over52c583.41$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.814,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under48c515.99$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.3995252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.151,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Under51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011743.6%51 W · 66 L-13.1wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Under52c439.67$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.6318449.5%91 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20014953%79 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Over53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1889048.9%44 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked Under3c400$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over49c383$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.333,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75b1…e2e8backed Over50c360$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1807853.8%42 W · 36 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under54c341.2$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.031,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under51c332.48$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.549,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over51c317.55$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.035,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over53c278.07$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6943459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over61c262.11$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.263,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x589a…7690backed Over52c249.23$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.781457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under50c220.02$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c210.72$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10034255.3%189 W · 153 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under48c199$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.521,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5c3…13e5backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.083557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6858649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over53c168$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.961,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under41c152.34$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.695,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under50c140$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.31,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under51c137.66$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.711,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under48c134$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3245045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c130$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.177050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02e0…3741backed Over51c105.88$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8816349.1%80 W · 83 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3b…07c9backed Over47c99.27$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.057950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8950…5c28backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca70…3bafbacked Over50c98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under54c95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.31,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f28…e3d9backed Over53c89.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under51c87.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.751,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7496…83e9backed Under36c82.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under33c80.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.356,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under47c78.07$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6947350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Under39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3047646.2%220 W · 256 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cb4…b6e1backed Over53c76.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0214053.6%75 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over53c75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.251,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae8c…dc39backed Under48c72.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352040%8 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under50c66.68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.342,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe602…ab3cbacked Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe665…79bbbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd360…914ebacked Over51c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under48c40.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.662,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under48c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7273849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under50c37.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.92,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ae…61b5backed Under56c35.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202737%10 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1a1…296fbacked Over46c32.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.542548%12 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x409d…8f47backed Under48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d5…1ca9backed Under48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over53c31.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed Over49c30.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.287642.1%32 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14fc…d8f4backed Over49c30.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.363151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec8…4bedbacked Over49c30.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.43647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155246.2%24 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over40c29.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3963954.5%348 W · 291 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x205d…2ad2backed Over50c28.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.277753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over48c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5654642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1790…30f7backed Under52c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.561533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-37.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7c22…7b22backed Over53c27.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.967050%35 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over47c27.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.382,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e18…ad5bbacked Over44c26.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.691553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.