MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f476b8bed20c9503a23435d5366a28b09d48c1676df8d6022f590e5d2eea485
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $252,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 52c | 179,087$92,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,714.46 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 48c | 150,000$72,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,000 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…430ebacked Under | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 11,662$6,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,169.81 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 52c | 9,507$4,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,573.97 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 6,216$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.17 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Under | 48c | 6,170$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.61 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 4,503$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.56 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 2,880$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.3 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Over | 53c | 2,342$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.96 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Over | 52c | 2,192$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.32 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 53c | 1,818$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.48 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 1,750$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.54 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.16 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 1,639$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.34 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 1,638$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.44 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 35c | 1,378$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.24 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 69c | 1,358$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.45 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…325bbacked Over | 53c | 1,095$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 57c | 1,055$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.73 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 1,000$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.4 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 48c | 780$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.4 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Over | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Over | 50c | 666$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 583.41$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.81 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 48c | 515.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.39 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.15 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Under | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Under | 52c | 439.67$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.63 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Under | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 49c | 383$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.33 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Over | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 54c | 341.2$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.03 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 332.48$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.54 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 51c | 317.55$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.03 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 53c | 278.07$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.69 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 61c | 262.11$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.26 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…7690backed Over | 52c | 249.23$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 220.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 210.72$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 48c | 199$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c3…13e5backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 53c | 168$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 41c | 152.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 50c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 51c | 137.66$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 48c | 134$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…3741backed Over | 51c | 105.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Over | 47c | 99.27$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8950…5c28backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca70…3bafbacked Over | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 54c | 95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f28…e3d9backed Over | 53c | 89.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 51c | 87.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7496…83e9backed Under | 36c | 82.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 33c | 80.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 47c | 78.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…b6e1backed Over | 53c | 76.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…dc39backed Under | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 50c | 66.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe602…ab3cbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe665…79bbbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…914ebacked Over | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 40.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 37.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ae…61b5backed Under | 56c | 35.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a1…296fbacked Over | 46c | 32.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d5…1ca9backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 53c | 31.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Over | 49c | 30.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Over | 49c | 30.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Over | 49c | 30.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over | 40c | 29.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Over | 50c | 28.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…30f7backed Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed Over | 53c | 27.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 47c | 27.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e18…ad5bbacked Over | 44c | 26.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia PhilliesLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.