MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0402f52532e009de5cb506cbfbb64ee580f9c6af5222308016bfb4cf0127f1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 54c | 54,942$29,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,657.14 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 47c | 18,678$8,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,826.42 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 16,369$7,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,585.72 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 11,548$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,148.36 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 46c | 2,901$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.55 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 50c | 2,573$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.5 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Over | 48c | 1,509$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.67 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 47c | 1,366$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.73 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 1,024$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.73 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 931.64$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.68 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 903.32$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.76 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 46c | 856.12$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.31 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 47c | 854.11$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.61 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 47c | 780$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.8 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 750$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 55c | 740.74$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.41 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 46c | 652.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.12 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 47c | 529$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.54 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 48c | 481.03$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.95 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 453.5$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.82 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 56c | 429.01$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.65 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 49c | 418.37$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.37 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 20c | 403.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.07 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 46c | 282$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.28 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…235ebacked Over | 46c | 222.11$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.94 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 48c | 211.67$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 53c | 188.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 50c | 170$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.52 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 47c | 158.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.84 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 53c | 141.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 46c | 134$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 53c | 132.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 48c | 121.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 53c | 113.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 84.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 41c | 81.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 49c | 71.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Under | 53c | 63.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 35c | 62.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 48c | 59.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…02c0backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 50c | 57.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 53c | 56.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 53c | 56.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757c…d1bfbacked Over | 46c | 52.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 29c | 51.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Under | 55c | 47.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 52c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…59f9backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…6831backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…e580backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Over | 52c | 37.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 48c | 36.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed Over | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 44c | 30.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 47c | 28.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 24.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Over | 61c | 23.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 48c | 22.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Under | 53c | 20.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-5.5)Texas Rangers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.