MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ef4875248dd59d36c6216337b2d3fdc18629c9dec6e1a4066fa2779c6947b65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Seattle Mariners, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $486,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $431,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $486,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8201…8a41backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 101,000$51,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,320 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc163…aed8backed Seattle Mariners | 6c | 68,964$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 30c | 56,861$16,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,978.52 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 51,000$24,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,009.93 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 22,315$11,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,157.54 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 17,646$8,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,943.89 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 7,305$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.11 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Seattle Mariners | 0c | 5,400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 3,797$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.29 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 6c | 3,149$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 2,787$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.05 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Seattle Mariners | 23c | 2,623$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Seattle Mariners | 8c | 2,313$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 2,220$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.85 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 1,813$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.62 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 1,371$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.43 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Seattle Mariners | 3c | 1,234$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,170$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners | 6c | 1,109$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Seattle Mariners | 14c | 1,023$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.93 | 120 | 24.2%29 W · 91 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Seattle Mariners | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Seattle Mariners | 8c | 931.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 790.91$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.53 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 677.15$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.58 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Texas Rangers | 67c | 644.3$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.62 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Seattle Mariners | 6c | 475.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 461.14$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.86 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 441.18$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.59 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 408$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 402.42$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.21 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 369.03$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.02 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Seattle Mariners | 19c | 368.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 329.1$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.55 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Seattle Mariners | 3c | 302$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Texas Rangers | 71c | 239.14$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 210.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8385…89a4backed Seattle Mariners | 11c | 144.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 142$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 18c | 126.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Seattle Mariners | 12c | 126.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 121.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 118.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 113.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Texas Rangers | 63c | 108.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc6…095fbacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 108$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Seattle Mariners | 28c | 105.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…8921backed Seattle Mariners | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…6c6cbacked Seattle Mariners | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Seattle Mariners | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Texas Rangers | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec4…aa6cbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Texas Rangers | 71c | 90.27$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 81.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 77.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Seattle Mariners | 25c | 72.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Seattle Mariners | 36c | 62.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 94 | 9.6%9 W · 85 L | -30.9wins | -0.33per pick | 42cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 21-0.26 edge/pick |
| 0xe372…2d51backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 58.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 56.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 50.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 48.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…791cbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 46.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 45.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cee…14ddbacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9575…cd83backed Seattle Mariners | 28c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e3…31c9backed Texas Rangers | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 101 | 69.3%70 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-5.5)Texas Rangers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.