MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3851b98c524d87b2c3269b8c35a8f1d5b89bc253dc8ceb5f9fd6bb974ff38cfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 54c | 11,072$5,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,114.4 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 54c | 8,809$4,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,052.35 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 7,869$3,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,619.49 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Under | 46c | 7,728$3,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,527.76 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 46c | 4,382$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.68 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 54c | 3,384$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.64 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 2,408$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.59 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Over | 53c | 2,250$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.77 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 2,145$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.17 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 1,980$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.61 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 1,957$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.01 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Over | 61c | 1,640$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.7 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 44c | 1,554$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.54 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Over | 55c | 805.89$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.65 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 46c | 764.29$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.6 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 54c | 729.69$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.66 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 58c | 710.45$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.27 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed Under | 8c | 425$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 46c | 390$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.4 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 14c | 260.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 52c | 211.53$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.53 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…47cebacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked Over | 64c | 130.42$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 54c | 105.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over | 54c | 102.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Under | 45c | 98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 53c | 89.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Over | 54c | 76.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 53c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c3…13e5backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf50…480fbacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Under | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 46c | 59.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 53c | 55.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 54c | 54.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…9351backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x753a…74aabacked Over | 54c | 45.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…74c4backed Over | 54c | 45.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf413…3ca4backed Over | 54c | 45.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9d…852cbacked Over | 54c | 45.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3a…6618backed Over | 54c | 45.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4563…5dc1backed Under | 47c | 44.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…21d8backed Under | 47c | 44.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…3657backed Under | 47c | 44.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d2…6f12backed Under | 47c | 44.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37fc…1d19backed Under | 47c | 44.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e84…1c33backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 79c | 42.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…c083backed Over | 53c | 37.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Over | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…e580backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Over | 52c | 24.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Under | 47c | 22.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 65c | 22.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…9ea8backed Over | 66c | 22.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…7728backed Under | 48c | 21.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Under | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 14.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-5.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Seattle Mariners vs. Texas RangersNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.