MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8e0037ad9bbcd3234f42d95b8724820ba8db071eb2d02250c62fae1b25bb5f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Seattle Mariners, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $694,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $701,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $694,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 375 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 126,001$69,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,221.36 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 108,696$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,695.65 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 69,319$30,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,818.72 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 65,619$35,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,641.04 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 45,720$22,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,349.77 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,599.99 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 34,646$18,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,308.97 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 27,437$12,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,816 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb754…96dfbacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 25,533$11,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,788.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 24,782$11,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,408.91 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.97 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 19,608$9,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,074.68 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 16,667$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,166.79 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 16,666$7,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.64 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 26c | 11,536$2,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.58 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.98 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 8,728$4,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,712.99 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -6.9wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 8,727$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.11 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a29…25a8backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 8,345$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,589.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 8,153$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,402.62 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 6,911$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1b…f28abacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 6,674$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,670.89 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Seattle Mariners | 31c | 6,500$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 6,180$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 6,155$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.54 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.96 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 5,789$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8c00backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 5,340$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.15 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 5,252$2,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.4 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Seattle Mariners | 6c | 4,585$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Seattle Mariners | 0c | 4,097$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 4,063$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 4,031$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.35 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 28c | 3,978$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.26 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x121c…ea19backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 3,230$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.19 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 3,108$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 2,626$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.41 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 2,610$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 2,572$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.64 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 2,362$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 2,213$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.15 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 2,180$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.24 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe372…2d51backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 2,133$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.33 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Seattle Mariners | 37c | 2,058$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.51 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 2,009$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.5 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,896$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.84 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,880$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.2 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,863$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.55 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…0ad6backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,527$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…0ff4backed Seattle Mariners | 5c | 1,500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,349$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.6 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,188$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.61 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 63c | 1,188$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.03 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Seattle Mariners | 9c | 1,086$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 1,078$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.34 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 1,069$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.44 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 1,024$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.44 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,023$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.47 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Seattle Mariners | 5c | 999.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 893.59$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.54 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 888.89$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 870.61$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.42 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 862.73$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.13 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 833.33$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.33 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 794.44$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.94 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…e88fbacked Seattle Mariners | 40c | 755.88$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.18 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 751.81$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.08 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 694.02$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.45 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 649.09$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Mariners | 6c | 642.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc919…d1ddbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 639.95$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.01 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 619.97$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.18 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Texas Rangers | 79c | 617.72$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.59 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 616.08$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.04 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…f8acbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 605.01$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.85 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 580.83$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.25 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Seattle Mariners | 6c | 536.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…0200backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers | 68c | 517.35$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.05 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 511.86$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.86 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…f60cbacked Seattle Mariners | 12c | 485.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 478.26$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.04 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 450.05$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.73 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 446.42$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Seattle Mariners | 26c | 442.73$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 14.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-5.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Seattle Mariners vs. Texas RangersNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.