MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb225e2e281cda128d68ec6382525806497c1be42ac67c6e719f94fa2e2b280f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $489,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $508,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $489,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 56c | 178,798$100,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,804.66 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 45c | 28,592$12,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,843.2 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 55c | 25,390$14,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,013.66 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 16,080$8,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500.63 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 16,003$8,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,772.45 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Over | 36c | 13,889$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,888.88 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…b16bbacked Under | 54c | 5,528$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 47c | 3,569$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.99 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 66c | 3,049$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.34 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 55c | 2,842$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.11 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 45c | 2,529$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.37 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 4c | 1,655$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Under | 4c | 1,600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Under | 4c | 1,600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +83%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Over | 76c | 1,574$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.24 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 42c | 1,145$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.65 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Under | 63c | 1,087$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.02 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 35c | 1,024$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.72 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 61c | 1,005$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.19 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 35c | 954.07$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.15 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 34c | 768$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.88 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 3c | 644$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 3c | 644$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 63c | 634.86$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 57c | 630.23$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.5 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Under | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 7.2%5 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 3c | 579.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 69c | 501.37$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.83 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 35c | 494.7$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.56 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 442.17$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.1 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 34c | 437.94$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.04 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 44c | 432.29$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.07 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 52c | 418.81$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.77 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Under | 21c | 338.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 64c | 327.75$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.76 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 40c | 317.43$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.41 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Under | 65c | 289.23$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 140 | 64.3%90 W · 50 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf04…90b5backed Over | 36c | 256.64$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…f8acbacked Under | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Over | 72c | 226.15$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 41c | 212.9$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.39 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 58c | 204.23$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.51 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 48c | 196.85$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.63 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 55c | 169.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.58 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 45c | 168.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…ab75backed Under | 52c | 153.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 64c | 145.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Under | 18c | 138.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 55c | 128.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 45c | 121.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 27c | 115.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.06 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed Over | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 47c | 94.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 66c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 42c | 71.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…c30bbacked Over | 46c | 65.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 36c | 61.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 64c | 59.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 45c | 59.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…5ed1backed Over | 71c | 56.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 242 | 63.6%154 W · 88 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 69c | 52.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 61c | 51.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 50.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…c536backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 47c | 42.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 34c | 41.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 35c | 41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 55c | 40.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…12a6backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 34c | 39.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Under | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…406bbacked Under | 58c | 33.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4930…1196backed Under | 56c | 32.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…23f0backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 47c | 29.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf445…758cbacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…f703backed Under | 60c | 25.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 65c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Under | 55c | 22.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 203 | 62.6%127 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ae…61b5backed Under | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Under | 56c | 19.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…d3dbbacked Under | 63c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 14.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-5.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Seattle Mariners vs. Texas RangersNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.