WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x423eabceb3edbfc3b0485ddce3007cfa8ff4e1df3242d51b7d7ae151cbf50e59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.92 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 5,735$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.99 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Under | 51c | 4,425$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.73 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 4,303$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.78 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Under | 51c | 3,137$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 50c | 2,708$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.97 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.91 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2d16backed Under | 52c | 2,029$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 51c | 1,964$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.1 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 49c | 1,670$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.7 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 1,670$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.7 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Over | 49c | 1,595$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.42 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 5c | 1,195$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 49c | 1,139$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.89 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 48c | 1,093$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.48 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 49c | 1,071$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 66c | 938.85$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.71 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 7c | 704.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 44c | 646.68$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.55 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 51c | 576.98$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.72 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 551.54$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.76 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 49c | 509.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.81 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 50c | 436$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.82 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 49c | 333.92$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.21 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 28c | 272.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 256$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 50c | 236$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 49c | 201.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Over | 49c | 190$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 30c | 143.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Over | 49c | 123.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 49c | 82.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 49c | 82.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4752backed Under | 39c | 79.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 49c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 60.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453b…6660backed Under | 51c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 30c | 46.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 51c | 46.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 49c | 45.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 45.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed Over | 72c | 43.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 50c | 42.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Over | 50c | 42.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 65c | 41.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 29c | 40.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3c…8290backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…4ac7backed Under | 51c | 38.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 72c | 37.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…86e7backed Over | 50c | 37.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ae…b9d9backed Under | 52c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 51c | 37.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Under | 34c | 34.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…e580backed Under | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 49c | 26.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 49c | 24.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Over | 49c | 22.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe602…9446backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 74c | 19.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Over | 76c | 18.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces won
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 178.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.