WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbedfeb94388b8c2d40f8fc92edf791a65d39652c9f7d35cd660b0e0d3330e3ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Las Vegas Acesof Las Vegas Aces, New York Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 13,438$6,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,844.28 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed New York Liberty | 51c | 11,765$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.97 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty | 51c | 9,325$4,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,721.3 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 7,619$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,809.82 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 4,102$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.25 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 4,003$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.45 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 3,368$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.83 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed New York Liberty | 52c | 3,238$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.6 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked New York Liberty | 51c | 2,224$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.35 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 2,084$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.5 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 1,787$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.98 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 1,652$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.04 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 1,426$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.26 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Liberty | 38c | 1,176$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.88 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed New York Liberty | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked New York Liberty | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Liberty | 47c | 1,000$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.31 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed New York Liberty | 52c | 986.54$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 979$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.63 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 745.1$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.1 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 692.84$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.42 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty | 48c | 610$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.3 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed New York Liberty | 49c | 549$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.01 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 547.5$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 399.92$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.96 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 377$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.27 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty | 31c | 355.02$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 319.2$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.77 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked New York Liberty | 9c | 297.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142a…7fd6backed New York Liberty | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 269.57$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.26 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 250$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.12 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78b…de1abacked New York Liberty | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…4ee7backed New York Liberty | 49c | 188.63$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -74%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed New York Liberty | 50c | 172.64$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 170.59$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…bc1cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed New York Liberty | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked New York Liberty | 51c | 140.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 133.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Las Vegas Aces | 64c | 124$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed New York Liberty | 46c | 120.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 97.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed New York Liberty | 28c | 93.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked New York Liberty | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 84.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked New York Liberty | 47c | 81.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed New York Liberty | 48c | 79.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 75.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed New York Liberty | 41c | 75.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed New York Liberty | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 61.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked New York Liberty | 31c | 59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed New York Liberty | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed New York Liberty | 46c | 48.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed New York Liberty | 39c | 47.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed New York Liberty | 45c | 47.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6c…f3eabacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 44.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed New York Liberty | 35c | 42.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 40.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed New York Liberty | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 38.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 38.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc90a…1834backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 36.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 35.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 35.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 33.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed New York Liberty | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked New York Liberty | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…dceabacked Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed New York Liberty | 40c | 29.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 25.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed New York Liberty | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 22.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 21.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 21.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed New York Liberty | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Las Vegas Aces | 65c | 16.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)this page
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces won
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 178.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.