WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45bcce910421ce9ac710000819df65fcdd4d3831a866120d231a26621570866e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Under | 53c | 35,993$19,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,066.24 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 47c | 32,641$15,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,299.99 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 46c | 12,686$5,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,850.65 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Under | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Under | 54c | 8,236$4,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,447.52 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 5,307$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.09 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 46c | 2,120$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 1,422$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.48 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 1,313$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.27 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 76c | 1,055$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.72 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Under | 54c | 950$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Under | 32c | 947.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 768$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.6 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.17 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 673.18$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.02 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 612.13$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.03 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 26c | 600$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.86 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Under | 54c | 411$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.94 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac40…f5b9backed Under | 40c | 399.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 300$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Over | 68c | 296.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.24 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 10c | 228.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 105 | 28.6%30 W · 75 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 53c | 227.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.49 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 224.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 25c | 150.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a89…c73ebacked Under | 53c | 143.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Over | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 46c | 111.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 46c | 108.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 47c | 100.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 65c | 99.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 92.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 25c | 87.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…6be7backed Over | 78c | 85.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 47c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 53c | 66.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc919…d1ddbacked Over | 46c | 62.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 47c | 60.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Over | 77c | 56.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 54c | 53.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…0f59backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1957…0e20backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 72c | 39.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 46c | 39.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8f…f96abacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…dbcdbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…dceabacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…504bbacked Over | 47c | 31.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cb…23dfbacked Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 53c | 22.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Under | 53c | 21.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces won
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 178.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.