TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Champions League · resolved market

NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,483
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,483 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd09…8974backed Over0c94,059$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.91625%4 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-52.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c6,546$3,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,422.292,10143.6%917 W · 1,184 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over36c3,871$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.353231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over60c3,505$2,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.271915.8%3 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-72.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c3,393$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.91,59639.8%636 W · 960 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over53c3,265$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.7754239.5%214 W · 328 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Under26c2,039$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.932147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+59.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under38c1,918$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.111,06236.3%386 W · 676 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over56c1,833$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.117140.4%69 W · 102 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under60c1,365$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.5651746.2%239 W · 278 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Under41c1,223$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.945529.1%16 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb7f…6fbdbacked Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over60c909$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.3418141.4%75 W · 106 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under39c850.9$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.7635746.8%167 W · 190 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x101c…0e79backed Over36c838.38$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over59c836.44$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.3179935.3%282 W · 517 L-36.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under52c807.92$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.291145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under44c800.85$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.510752.3%56 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94e0…625ebacked Over71c708.64$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.021330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under55c693.67$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.2812551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Under43c690.94$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.592564%16 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1f7…7656backed Under73c687.08$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.081376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed Over67c625$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.752532%8 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over59c602.47$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.9670446.3%326 W · 378 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over61c521.61$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.1836744.4%163 W · 204 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under55c503.29$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.520936.8%77 W · 132 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over59c500.44$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.2639042.3%165 W · 225 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5edb…00a9backed Over46c500$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over60c471$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.649751.9%258 W · 239 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under41c450.56$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.8311346%52 W · 61 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under49c384.94$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0333057.6%190 W · 140 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under49c384.71$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.2719259.9%115 W · 77 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over61c351.06$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.4141743.4%181 W · 236 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Over48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-67.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Under38c240$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.84332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+77.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Over56c224.2$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.411145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009350.5%47 W · 46 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over56c168.39$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.36530.8%20 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over59c163.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.491233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Under28c163.42$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.462825%7 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under57c162.12$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.517739%30 W · 47 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over46c161.18$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1912846.9%60 W · 68 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed Over57c157.89$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over60c150.7$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8216248.1%78 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Under62c135.56$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.752748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under30c133.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.333461.8%21 W · 13 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007656.6%43 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under40c127.24$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.241855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over59c122$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.986258.1%36 W · 26 L+8.5wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+59.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd7b9…5bd1backed Over35c113$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.811560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under40c112.41$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.277846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under45c101.2$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.718250%41 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over59c99.06$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.826947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under31c97.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4719442.8%83 W · 111 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over60c96$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.619343%83 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under40c95.17$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.062850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under42c93.48$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2210239.2%40 W · 62 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under39c91.25$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7523145.9%106 W · 125 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504866.7%32 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over60c84.74$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8411659.5%69 W · 47 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef8a…7035backed Over78c82.26$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.16475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over62c80.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9911035.5%39 W · 71 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3ab2…66cdbacked Under23c78.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.26728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over77c76.24$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.739043.6%170 W · 220 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under73c75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.255143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Under73c75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.253444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over59c74.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.917144.4%76 W · 95 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under23c72$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.444022.5%9 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over26c70.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.962454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Under29c68.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.011464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403040%12 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-25.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Under42c66.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.172560%15 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under39c65.1$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4253546.7%250 W · 285 L+2.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under38c60.93$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.027557.3%43 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over57c60.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.678360.2%50 W · 33 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.86744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over45c57.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265135.3%18 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over58c56.1$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.549066.7%60 W · 30 L+12.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+29.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under52c52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7926653.8%143 W · 123 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under51c51.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0116167.1%108 W · 53 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1718452.7%97 W · 87 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over60c47.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5597332.2%313 W · 660 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Under33c45.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12c8…20d5backed Over56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under29c43.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.239643.8%42 W · 54 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Under40c42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.23122.6%7 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under42c41.12$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9217556.6%99 W · 76 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over55c41.08$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5963748.4%308 W · 329 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under36c39.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9914852.7%78 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8e…05a4backed Over60c35.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.321747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over57c34.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.691764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Over62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202259.1%13 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013767.2%92 W · 45 L+0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205448.1%26 W · 28 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over68c30.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.827265.3%47 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Over60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1850%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Under43c27.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.921776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+36.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under45c27.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.063246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.