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Champions League · resolved market

NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,901
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,901 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd09…8974backed Over0c123,868$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.41625%4 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-52.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under68c4,372$2,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.262,10143.6%917 W · 1,184 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over52c3,877$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under63c2,355$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.841,06236.3%386 W · 676 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c2,036$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.971,59639.8%636 W · 960 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over29c1,909$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.0454239.5%214 W · 328 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over28c1,500$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.994712.8%6 W · 41 L-5.8wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-42.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over29c1,428$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.9117140.4%69 W · 102 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over33c1,419$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47311346%52 W · 61 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over38c1,012$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.321860.6%132 W · 86 L+21.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under71c705.48$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.7110752.3%56 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over45c537.2$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.741,14135.4%404 W · 737 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under73c414.04$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.187846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2087739%30 W · 47 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under69c393.1$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2719259.9%115 W · 77 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under69c387.34$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0633057.6%190 W · 140 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over38c378.98$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9323145.9%106 W · 125 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.885056%28 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over39c320$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.65123.5%12 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over39c226.14$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2318648.9%91 W · 95 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd36…6674backed Over44c212.18$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.361553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over38c192.6$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.196258.1%36 W · 26 L+8.5wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+59.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over55c189.18$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1819343%83 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under44c181.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.823461.8%21 W · 13 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over40c154.71$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5879935.3%282 W · 517 L-36.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3743…7bc1backed Under67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.252142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under63c143.74$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.918250%41 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over38c141.55$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.796530.8%20 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under50c139.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9319442.8%83 W · 111 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over37c129.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0953546.7%250 W · 285 L+2.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over37c121.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1349751.9%258 W · 239 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Under62c120.97$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.971361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick38cpaid+32.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed Under63c119.05$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.051163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under65c106.9$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5417556.6%99 W · 76 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Under69c104.2$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.712560%15 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0617144.4%76 W · 95 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+63%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over37c97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.418360.2%50 W · 33 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed Under62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.771154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Under62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.77875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over39c92.89$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.132454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.597856.4%44 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over38c90.35$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3351746.2%239 W · 278 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over39c89.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.159066.7%60 W · 30 L+12.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+29.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over37c82.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5239042.3%165 W · 225 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under61c79.87$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1563748.4%308 W · 329 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over56c77.32$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2518452.7%97 W · 87 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029540.3%119 W · 176 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc11d…0123backed Under46c70.24$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over38c69.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5932150.5%162 W · 159 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under62c64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1816852.4%88 W · 80 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under67c55$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9126653.8%143 W · 123 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under63c54.61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4435746.8%167 W · 190 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203040%12 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-25.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2175…4b33backed Under62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.39650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62cd…7b19backed Under62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Over39c48.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.781145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Under44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Under63c45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.653122.6%7 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9620…674cbacked Over39c41.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2842444.1%187 W · 237 L-22.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55a3…fd93backed Under64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.472548.6%352 W · 373 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under67c39.89$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0116167.1%108 W · 53 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over39c37.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.792161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under62c36.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8197332.2%313 W · 660 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7695…651ebacked Under45c33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+49.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8349…55d7backed Under62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261225%3 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-59.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over44c31.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9512551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.410160.4%61 W · 40 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a8e…05a4backed Over39c27.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.671747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91e7…6716backed Under64c25.03$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.011283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x78fb…56bcbacked Under62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.193100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0789…f7adbacked Under62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.19475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc951…6791backed Under62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under60c24.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.714852.7%78 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.247557.3%43 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6aaa…3880backed Under63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ba…4390backed Under63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4068…673ebacked Under63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.813100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eac…de53backed Under63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe91c…0cf9backed Under63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+43.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75d6…5e9bbacked Under62c23.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under58c20.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7210545.7%48 W · 57 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fb9…c170backed Under80c12.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51989.5%17 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick80cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.