Champions League · resolved market
NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9edcf2d56ba76276b2d218082b75739752396765863d28961c68abbba5bd6e42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NK Celjeof NK Celje, KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 6c | 4,168$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.84 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 17c | 1,788$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked NK Celje | 80c | 1,477$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.83 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 5c | 1,380$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb764…e4a4backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NK Celje | 78c | 910.59$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.77 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…e4b2backed NK Celje | 55c | 879.62$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 15c | 839.77$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed NK Celje | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 42c | 396.52$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 8c | 395.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed NK Celje | 80c | 388.42$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.91 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 20c | 378.12$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…fc6dbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 41c | 335.36$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +557.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 22c | 317.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed NK Celje | 78c | 304.13$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NK Celje | 73c | 270.83$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…074bbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 23c | 172.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 17c | 144.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8611…2c36backed NK Celje | 71c | 141.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 76cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed NK Celje | 78c | 136.86$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 13c | 126.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…a0aabacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 43c | 120.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 45c | 112.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed NK Celje | 56c | 110.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 29c | 104.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 212 | 17%36 W · 176 L | -37.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed NK Celje | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…900ebacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed NK Celje | 57c | 84.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 18c | 81.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 45c | 75.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 19c | 62.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 30c | 55.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d2…208dbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 45c | 55.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.24per pick | 29cpaid | +168.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked NK Celje | 76c | 54.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked NK Celje | 77c | 51.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5143…a52cbacked NK Celje | 54c | 47.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…c701backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 24c | 46.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked NK Celje | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed NK Celje | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…80a4backed NK Celje | 57c | 41.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 46c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 34c | 37.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed NK Celje | 61c | 34.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked NK Celje | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…9175backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 46c | 32.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…72a0backed NK Celje | 78c | 31.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked NK Celje | 79c | 31.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed NK Celje | 73c | 30.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +153.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed NK Celje | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 78cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 45c | 22.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c06…84a9backed NK Celje | 67c | 20.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed NK Celje | 76c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Team to Advancethis page
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 0.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 0.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 1.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 2.5Under won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 3.5Under won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 4.5Under won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-1.5)NK Celje won
- Spread: NK Celje (-1.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
- Spread: NK Celje (-2.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.