Champions League · resolved market
Spread: NK Celje (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b923fb9fe441875715b9c677782bab612e0f4e718b9e09275f2c24781d8c000
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinëof NK Celje, KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed NK Celje | 33c | 2,701$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.49 | 799 | 35.3%282 W · 517 L | -36.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 70c | 2,377$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.11 | 2,101 | 43.6%917 W · 1,184 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked NK Celje | 35c | 1,953$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.26 | 1,596 | 39.8%636 W · 960 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 62c | 742$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.96 | 704 | 46.3%326 W · 378 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 67c | 457.87$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.03 | 1,062 | 36.3%386 W · 676 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 66c | 381.01$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.99 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 62c | 217$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked NK Celje | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 226 | 52.2%118 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 69c | 190.37$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 69c | 189.18$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 330 | 57.6%190 W · 140 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…074bbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed NK Celje | 38c | 128.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 73c | 123.59$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NK Celje | 38c | 119.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 631 | 37.7%238 W · 393 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed NK Celje | 43c | 76.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 973 | 32.2%313 W · 660 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 428 | 50.2%215 W · 213 L | +25.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked NK Celje | 39c | 69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 535 | 46.7%250 W · 285 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 54c | 65.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 637 | 48.4%308 W · 329 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 70c | 63.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked NK Celje | 42c | 59.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 424 | 44.1%187 W · 237 L | -22.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 60c | 51.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed NK Celje | 37c | 43.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 60c | 38.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed NK Celje | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed NK Celje | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 71c | 20.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 161 | 67.1%108 W · 53 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 73c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: NK Celje (-1.5)this page
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 0.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 0.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 1.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 2.5Under won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 3.5Under won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 4.5Under won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 5.5Under won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Team to AdvanceNK Celje won
- Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-1.5)NK Celje won
- Spread: NK Celje (-2.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.