Champions League · resolved market
NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f18298ebafb4685ddc4191aaa6204e327e424fa301daecfe67f95a3edd5fe39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 60c | 8,391$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,390.68 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 7,367$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.85 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Yes | 56c | 2,314$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.13 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 57c | 2,299$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.9 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 57c | 1,579$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6b…f2e5backed Yes | 57c | 1,562$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 44c | 1,531$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.01 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 44c | 1,302$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.38 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 42c | 1,190$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.39 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 44c | 1,111$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.84 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 45c | 947.58$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.36 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 43c | 848.56$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.88 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 39c | 841.75$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.85 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 671.09$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.42 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 43c | 606.41$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.76 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 41c | 459.31$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.44 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 56c | 435.6$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.66 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…a1aabacked Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked No | 44c | 399.97$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 45c | 331.61$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 43c | 331.32$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 47c | 232.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 52c | 231.83$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.83 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 57c | 205.26$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c9…eac8backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Yes | 55c | 155$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 143.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 40c | 138$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 28c | 119.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 45c | 108.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +6.0wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Yes | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…7e90backed Yes | 57c | 98.19$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 44c | 92.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 56c | 85.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 57c | 66.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd940…e682backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 57c | 56.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +129%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…b95fbacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed No | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 57c | 43.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…976abacked Yes | 56c | 37.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 44c | 37.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…cb27backed Yes | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed No | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 63c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked Yes | 56c | 30.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 38c | 28.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 45c | 23.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed No | 53c | 23.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 0.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 0.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 1.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 2.5Under won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 3.5Under won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 4.5Under won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 5.5Under won
- NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Team to AdvanceNK Celje won
- Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-1.5)NK Celje won
- Spread: NK Celje (-1.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
- Spread: NK Celje (-2.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.