TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0c9…eac8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Commodities at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adidas be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.79
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will Jérémy Doku score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.49
France vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34.52
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$69.66
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26.55
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$107.63
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-41.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$75.96
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+34%+$26.05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 8 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$102.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 2?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $230 on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$74.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$57.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$21.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+43.8%+$63.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+26.6%+$16.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northeastern Huskies vs. Monmouth Hawksbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$37.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.