Champions League · resolved market
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd4ffa37317f181b4a6c7bbfd5e3c46c8d6702ecd3e9fc08cc16a6ab91855865
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f17…519ebacked No | 79c | 25,341$20,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,020 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.9wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 60c | 16,245$9,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,496.7 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 21c | 13,000$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,270 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 11,969$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.01 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…7e90backed No | 9c | 9,946$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.51 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 8c | 8,722$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.3 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 7,900$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,101.46 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 49c | 7,710$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,789.01 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 60c | 5,325$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.53 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 29c | 4,273$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.7 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573a…dcbfbacked No | 0c | 4,100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 50c | 3,584$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.26 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed No | 16c | 2,968$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.17 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 39c | 2,901$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.59 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 11c | 2,600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 32c | 2,307$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.69 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 48c | 2,158$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.1 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 54c | 2,026$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.13 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked No | 40c | 2,015$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.2 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 12c | 1,635$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…c950backed No | 29c | 1,565$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.79 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed No | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 30c | 1,454$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.23 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,439$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 21c | 1,321$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.68 | 313 | 42.5%133 W · 180 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 79c | 1,257$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.15 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 64c | 1,256$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.83 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7b…6e86backed Yes | 73c | 1,229$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 38c | 1,092$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.59 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 66c | 1,080$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.94 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 62c | 1,048$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.3 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.52 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 50c | 999.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 20c | 970.94$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.16 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 21c | 970$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.3 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Yes | 49c | 948.28$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.96 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 28c | 867.29$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.94 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes | 71c | 855$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.1 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 25c | 845.61$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.52 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 59c | 815.42$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.79 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 17c | 811.51$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.13 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 70c | 780.4$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.41 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 31c | 718$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.14 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Yes | 17c | 658.86$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.46 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd6…ca34backed Yes | 62c | 638.29$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.73 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed No | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 27c | 611.97$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.52 | 242 | 45.9%111 W · 131 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 587.1$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.92 | 329 | 44.7%147 W · 182 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed No | 17c | 577.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 56c | 560$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.91 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…2c16backed No | 80c | 550.73$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 17c | 517.12$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.66 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 20c | 511.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.77 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 50c | 431.96$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.6 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 32c | 410.24$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.42 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 25c | 392$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 21c | 390$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.1 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 25c | 374$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked No | 17c | 373.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 56c | 358.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.44 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 34c | 352$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.29 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 61c | 348.3$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.81 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 26c | 337.13$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.39 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed No | 13c | 327.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 312.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.82 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…1673backed No | 79c | 294.11$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed No | 22c | 267.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…0240backed Yes | 21c | 267$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 11c | 265.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 250$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 59c | 249$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.71 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 29c | 243.86$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 45c | 233$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.41 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 40c | 208.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.45 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7b80backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…28dcbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked No | 67c | 196.64$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.03 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Yes | 70c | 193$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 190.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.42 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 79c | 181.07$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.05 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 13c | 172.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.26 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 55c | 168.71$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 21c | 166.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 17c | 164.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Yes | 12c | 162.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 23cpaid | +434.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed No | 76c | 161.84$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 17c | 160$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.8 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed Yes | 19c | 160$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Yes | 12c | 155.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 21c | 150$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b3…04aebacked No | 80c | 144.6$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.95 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Yes | 65c | 130.37$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 21c | 127.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.87 | 631 | 50.2%317 W · 314 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?this page
- Will KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?No won
- Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-07-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.