TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x92c9…28dc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT3138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$726.77
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.8
LoL: Blue Otter vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Blue Otter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Dream Esports vs Tung Tung Bogi (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stagebacked Tung Tung Bogi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+27%+$116.46
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$587.3
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$61.32
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$162.34
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.85
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$333.33
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$188.1
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$582.35
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$27.49
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stagebacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.77
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group Cbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$26.41
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Playoffsbacked Ground Zero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+462.5%+$92.5
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Ground Zero (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Playoffsbacked Ground Zero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$111.31
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stagebacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group Dbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$25.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-07-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$67.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.