Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dream Esports vs Tung Tung Bogi (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa038d4376718f7933c112b109c43841532d33da746cc78d58855122b4bcb7f93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dream Esportsof Dream Esports, Tung Tung Bogi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5dd9…420fbacked Dream Esports | 72c | 6,126$4,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.62 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 71cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…f30ebacked Tung Tung Bogi | 23c | 2,244$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tung Tung Bogi | 34c | 1,605$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.86 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 27c | 686.93$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Dream Esports | 68c | 507$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.37 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Tung Tung Bogi | 25c | 492$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -13.6wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 35c | 478$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.3 | 354 | 35.3%125 W · 229 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tung Tung Bogi | 24c | 399.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tung Tung Bogi | 34c | 387.04$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…040fbacked Dream Esports | 68c | 375$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Dream Esports | 73c | 328.07$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.24 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Tung Tung Bogi | 30c | 319.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed Tung Tung Bogi | 19c | 267.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 35c | 257.1$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.06 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Tung Tung Bogi | 25c | 249.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Tung Tung Bogi | 23c | 203.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 331 | 39.9%132 W · 199 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Dream Esports | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Tung Tung Bogi | 25c | 199.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Dream Esports | 78c | 193.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Tung Tung Bogi | 32c | 188.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Dream Esports | 76c | 176.14$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked Dream Esports | 75c | 175.81$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 356 | 59%210 W · 146 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed Dream Esports | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Tung Tung Bogi | 30c | 139$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Tung Tung Bogi | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Tung Tung Bogi | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 227 | 42.7%97 W · 130 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Tung Tung Bogi | 37c | 124.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Tung Tung Bogi | 23c | 103$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 438 | 37.9%166 W · 272 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed Tung Tung Bogi | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Tung Tung Bogi | 35c | 86.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed Tung Tung Bogi | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 539 | 32.5%175 W · 364 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Tung Tung Bogi | 26c | 77.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 529 | 45.9%243 W · 286 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 19c | 77.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Dream Esports | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Dream Esports | 67c | 67.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Dream Esports | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3910…4ffbbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 22c | 58.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 47cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Dream Esports | 70c | 55.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Dream Esports | 75c | 54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Dream Esports | 66c | 49.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 465 | 62.4%290 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Dream Esports | 77c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Dream Esports | 72c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…28dcbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 24c | 40.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf4…0e3dbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Tung Tung Bogi | 35c | 39.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed Dream Esports | 72c | 38.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Dream Esports | 75c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Dream Esports | 78c | 33.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked Dream Esports | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 338 | 57.7%195 W · 143 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked Dream Esports | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Dream Esports | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 243 | 56.4%137 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.