CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe671c9f5d79f02ac331270582e27db3c255e3ba4270132b61df2ad8942eb5520
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ground Zeroof THUNDER dOWNUNDER, Ground Zero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc732…adefbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 2c | 23,237$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.42 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 79c | 2,688$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.37 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Ground Zero | 14c | 2,369$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.93 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 66c | 1,152$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.47 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Ground Zero | 32c | 1,041$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.88 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Ground Zero | 44c | 1,038$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.22 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Ground Zero | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 63c | 479$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.04 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Ground Zero | 14c | 439.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.6 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…053ebacked Ground Zero | 56c | 360.01$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.47 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Ground Zero | 30c | 333.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.82 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Ground Zero | 10c | 327.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.89 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Ground Zero | 20c | 302.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.92 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 72c | 293.03$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.3 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Ground Zero | 38c | 278.62$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.09 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Ground Zero | 21c | 208.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f6…6e6cbacked Ground Zero | 49c | 203.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 58c | 124.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…28dcbacked Ground Zero | 18c | 112.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 68c | 109.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Ground Zero | 43c | 93.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 44c | 87.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 60c | 82.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Ground Zero | 29c | 76.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Ground Zero | 30c | 72.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Ground Zero | 39c | 69.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Ground Zero | 64c | 68.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 60c | 65.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…bfd0backed Ground Zero | 22c | 51.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Ground Zero | 43c | 49.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 64c | 40.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +15.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 71c | 39.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 65c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…8f0fbacked Ground Zero | 41c | 35.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Ground Zero | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 65c | 30.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…50d4backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 65c | 25.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 55c | 21.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…4f6ebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 79c | 19.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…2318backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 66c | 15.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 71c | 14.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero - Map 1 WinnerTHUNDER dOWNUNDER won
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero - Map 2 WinnerGround Zero won
- Map Handicap: TdU (-1.5) vs Ground Zero (+1.5)Ground Zero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.