CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x840bd41db32cab2a1a2dbd87642959ec92446aed929895b04fbc552ae8a85bcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ground Zeroof THUNDER dOWNUNDER, Ground Zero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ground Zero | 19c | 6,755$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,454.12 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 80c | 6,500$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Ground Zero | 11c | 4,064$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,617.18 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Ground Zero | 3c | 2,698$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.57 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ground Zero | 19c | 2,676$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.75 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Ground Zero | 54c | 600.38$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.41 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Ground Zero | 33c | 570.95$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.58 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Ground Zero | 36c | 481.36$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.85 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ground Zero | 22c | 479.67$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.16 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 72c | 449.99$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.24 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Ground Zero | 16c | 426.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.02 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Ground Zero | 19c | 380.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.14 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 60c | 201.73$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.01 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…053ebacked Ground Zero | 59c | 178.61$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Ground Zero | 31c | 168.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Ground Zero | 22c | 139.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.53 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 54c | 93.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 55c | 90.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 56c | 88.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Ground Zero | 20c | 84.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Ground Zero | 30c | 82.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Ground Zero | 17c | 74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Ground Zero | 15c | 74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 63c | 73.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…bfd0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 47c | 63.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 47c | 57.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 56.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 70c | 48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 60c | 33.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 74c | 32.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 46c | 31.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d68…cd6abacked Ground Zero | 49c | 25.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 50c | 23.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9b…8b23backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 68c | 22.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…1d15backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals PlayoffsGround Zero won
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero - Map 1 WinnerTHUNDER dOWNUNDER won
- Map Handicap: TdU (-1.5) vs Ground Zero (+1.5)Ground Zero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.